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New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons - 12/24/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atlanta Falcons (9-5) at New Orleans Saints (10-4)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 24, 2017 at 1:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)

The Line: New Orleans Saints -5.5 -- Over/Under: 53 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

The Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints meet Sunday in NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

The Atlanta Falcons have won five of their last six games and need another win to stay in the thick of the NFC playoff race. The Atlanta Falcons have won three of their last four road games. Matt Ryan is completing 65.2 percent of his passes for 3,490 yards, 18 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Ryan has one or less touchdown passes in each of his last four games. Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu have combined for 1,816 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Austin Hooper has 43 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 122.9 yards per contest, and Devonta Freeman leads the way with 806 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 20.1 points and 323.6 yards per game. Deion Jones leads the Atlanta Falcons with 118 tackles, Adrian Clayborn has 9.5 sacks and Robert Alford has 16 pass deflections.

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons - 12/24/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The New Orleans Saints look to keep the ball rolling after winning 10 of their last 12 games. The New Orleans Saints have won six straight home games. Drew Brees is completing 71.8 percent of his passes for 3,850 yards, 21 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Brees has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last eight games. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara  have combined for 1,769 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Ted Ginn Jr. has 46 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 135.1 yards per contest, and Mark Ingram leads the way with 1,045 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 20.1 points and 328.4 yards per game. Vonn Bell leads the New Orleans Saints with 70 tackles, Cameron Jordan has 10 sacks and Marshon Lattimore has four interceptions.

The Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. NFC and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 16. The Saints are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 vs. NFC, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC South and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in New Orleans.

The New Orleans Saints had their chances to beat the Atlanta Falcons on the road a couple of weeks ago, so getting this game at home and catching them on short rest is a good spot. The Falcons are doing a good job of winning games, but they're struggling to put teams away and could have easily been on the losing side in a lot of these games. If Seattle or Tampa Bay made a last second field goal, the Falcons are going into overtime in both contests, and who knows what happens then. The Saints have been lights out at home this season with several double digit victories, and if the Falcons continue to struggle with offensive consistency, this is another contest that could get ugly. I'll take New Orleans by a touchdown.

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