Houston Texans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers - 12/25/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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Pittsburgh Steelers (11-3) at Houston Texans (4-10)
NFL Football: Monday, December 25, 2017 at 4:30 pm (NRG Stadium)
The Line: Houston Texans +9.5 -- Over/Under: 44
The Pittsburgh Steelers and Houston Texans meet Christmas in NFL action at NRG Stadium.
The Pittsburgh Steelers look for their 12th victory of the season as they chase a top-two seed in the AFC. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won five straight road games. Ben Roethlisberger is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 4,025 yards, 26 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Roethlisberger has two or more touchdown passes in each of his last six games. Antonio Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster have combined for 2,232 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns while Le'Veon Bell has 80 receptions. The Pittsburgh Steelers ground game is averaging 102.8 yards per contest, and Bell leads the way with 1,222 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 19.9 points and 307.8 yards per game. Ryan Shazier leads the Pittsburgh Steelers with 89 tackles, Cameron Heyward has 10 sacks and Sean Davis has two interceptions.
The Houston Texans have a chance to play spoiler while snapping a four-game losing streak. The Houston Texans have split their last six home games. Tom Savage is completing 56.1 percent of his passes for 1,412 yards, five touchdowns and six interceptions. Savage has one touchdown pass and three interceptions in his last three games. DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller V have combined for 1,709 receiving yards and 19 touchdowns while Stephen Anderson has 24 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 112.9 yards per contest, and Lamar Miller leads the way with 796 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 27.1 points and 354.7 yards per game. Benardrick McKinney leads the Houston Texans with 83 tackles, Jadeveon Clowney has nine sacks and Andre Hal has three interceptions.
The Steelers are 1-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Texans are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Monday games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in December and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
It's going to be interesting to see how the Pittsburgh Steelers rebound after being robbed on a bogus call that gave New England an important victory that probably gave away home field in the playoffs. Not only does that loss still weigh on them, but it's Christmas day, a day most players don't want to prepare for a game and would rather be home with friends and family. Also, Pittsburgh will be without the leader of its defense in Shazier and its best wide receiver in AB. On the flipside the Houston Texans have nothing to play for, but they have played well at home. Take away the ugly loss to the 49ers, the Texans beat the Cardinals by 10 points, lost to the Colts by six points, smoked the Browns, lost to Kansas City by eight and rocked the Titans. Houston is a much better team at home than on the road, and when you throw in some of the thins going on with the Steelers, I find value in getting all of these points. So, I'm siding with Houston in this spot.