Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers - 12/31/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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Green Bay Packers (7-8) at Detroit Lions (8-7)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 31, 2017 at 1:00 pm (Ford Field)
The Line: Detroit Lions -7.5 -- Over/Under: 42.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions meet Sunday in NFL action at Ford Field.
The Green Bay Packers look to finish the year with a victory and avoid their first losing season since 2008. The Green Bay Packers have split their last six road games. Brett Hundley is completing 61 percent of his passes for 1,664 yards, eight touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Handley has six touchdown passes and three interceptions in his last four games. Davante Adams and Randall Cobb have combined for 1,493 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns while Jordy Nelson has 53 receptions. The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 108.1 yards per contest, and Jamaal Williams leads the way with 474 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing 23.3 points and 348.4 yards per game. Blake Martinez leads the Green Bay Packers with 138 tackles, Clay Matthews has 7.5 sacks and Damarious Randall has four interceptions.
The Detroit Lions have a chance to finish the year with a winning record for the first time in back-to-back seasons since 1999-2000. The Detroit Lions have lost four of their last six home games. Matthew Stafford is completing 65.5 percent of his passes for 4,123 yards, 26 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Stafford has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last eight games. Marvin Jones Jr. and Golden Tate have combined for 1,918 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Eric Ebron has 52 receptions. The Detroit Lions ground game is averaging 78 yards per contest, and Ameer Abdullah leads the way with 534 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Detroit is allowing 24.3 points and 362.4 yards per game. Tahir Whitehead leads the Detroit Lions with 104 tackles, Ezekiel Ansah has nine sacks and Darius Slay has seven interceptions.
The Packers are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in December. The Lions are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games in December, 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC North and 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Detroit, 16-7 ATS in their last 23 meetings and the favorite is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 meetings.
I'd love an explanation as to why the Lions are this big of a favorite. Yes, Detroit beat up Green Bay in early November, but that's when Hundley was just getting his feet wet with this offense, he's a more confident and effective quarterback right now. The Lions have had very little success at home this season and are fresh off losing outright to the Cincinnati Bengals despite being a 3.5 point favorite. That loss removed any shot of the Lions making the playoffs and it upset the playoffs so much that very few stayed around for the media. I doubt anybody on the Lions will find the motivation to get up for this meaningless game. A free touchdown plus the hook seems like the play here, especially when you consider five of the last seven Packers' games have been decided by one score.