Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills - 12/31/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by USA TODAY Sports
Buffalo Bills (8-7) at Miami Dolphins (6-9)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 31, 2017 at 1:00 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)
The Line: Miami Dolphins +3 -- Over/Under: 43 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins meet Sunday in NFL action at Hard Rock Stadium.
The Buffalo Bills need a victory here to have any chance of making the playoffs for the first time since the 1999 NFL season. The Buffalo Bills have lost four of their last five road games. Tyrod Taylor is completing 62.1 percent of his passes for 2,595 yards, 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. Taylor has one or less touchdown passes in each of his last six games. Charles Clay and LeSean McCoy have combined for 920 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Deonte Thompson has 25 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 126.1 yards per contest, and McCoy leads the way with 1,128 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 22.9 points and 355.1 yards per game. Preston Brown leads the Buffalo Bills with 131 tackles, Shaq Lawson has four sacks and Micah Hyde has five interceptions.
The Miami Dolphins look to play spoiler and finish the season with at least seven wins for the fifth time in the last six years. The Miami Dolphins have won four of their last six home games. Jay Cutler is completing 62.1 percent of his passes for 2,660 yards, 19 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Cutler has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last nine games. Kenny Stills and Jarvis Landry have combined for 1,708 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns while DeVante Parker has 51 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 86.3 yards per contest, and Kenyan Drake leads the way with 569 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 24.5 points and 332.8 yards per game. Reshad Jones leads the Miami Dolphins with 114 tackles, Cameron Wake has nine sacks and Xavien Howard has four interceptions.
The Bills are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC East, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Dolphins are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 home games, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East and 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings, the favorite is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings and the over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
The Miami Dolphins have been a solid team at home this season and would probably love nothing more than to prevent a division rival from making the playoffs. The problem is the Dolphins have done nothing but shoot themselves in the foot the last couple of months, and they're not a team I'm trying to get behind. The Buffalo Bills have been able to compete enough the last couple of weeks to make this game meaningful, and the Dolphins defense couldn't stop McCoy or Taylor when these clubs met a couple of weeks ago. I wouldn't be shocked if the Dolphins stole this game with the way they play at home, and I personally think the line should be closer to a pick em. However, Buffalo is the better and more consistent team this season, so if I'm going to pick this game, I'm siding with the Bills on the road.