New England Patriots vs. New York Jets - 12/31/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New York Jets (5-10) at New England Patriots (12-3)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 31, 2017 at 1:00 pm (Gillette Stadium)
The Line: New England Patriots -16.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The New York Jets and New England Patriots meet Sunday in NFL action at Gillette Stadium.
The New York Jets look to end the year with a victory while winning at least six games for the eighth time in the last 10 years. The New York Jets have lost their last four road games. Bryce Petty is completing 47.4 percent of his passes for 312 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Petty enters this game with 209 career pass attempts under his belt. Robby Anderson and Jermaine Kearse have combined for 1,690 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Austin Seferian-Jenkins has 50 receptions. The New York Jets ground game is averaging 110.8 yards per contest, and Bilal Powell leads the way with 726 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 23.7 points and 353.7 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New York Jets with 124 tackles, Muhammad Wilkerson has 3.5 sacks and Marcus Maye has two interceptions.
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The New England Patriots have a chance to win at least 13 regular season games for the fourth time in the last eight years. The New England Patriots won their last four home games. Tom Brady is completing 67.5 percent of his passes for 4,387 yards, 30 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Brady has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last 10 games. Rob Gronkowski and Brandin Cooks have combined for 2,087 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns while Danny Amendola has 57 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 116.1 yards per contest, and Dion Lewis leads the way with 803 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 19.3 points and 373.9 yards per game. Devin McCourty leads the New England Patriots with 89 tackles, Trey Flowers has 6.5 sacks and Duron Harmon has four interceptions.
The Jets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC East, 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Patriots are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 home games, 20-7 ATS in their last 27 vs. AFC and 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 games overall. The Jets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England, 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings and the over is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings.
At first I was going to back the Jets here simply because I don't like laying monster numbers, especially in the NFL where games are often close. However, the Jets have nothing to play for and a loss actually helps them in the long run due to a higher draft pick. Also, the Patriots have covered each of the last seven times they were home favorites by at least 14 points. The last time New England did not cover at home by at least a two touchdown favorite was in December of 2011. Add in the Patriots other crazy stats against the spread, and I'd eat the chalk if forced to make a play here.