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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans - 1/6/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tennessee Titans (9-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (10-6)

NFL Football: Saturday, January 6, 2018 at 4:35 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -7.5 -- Over/Under: 44.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Tennessee Titans and Kansas City Chiefs meet Saturday in the NFL AFC Wild Card Game at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Tennessee Titans have split their last eight games and look for their first playoff victory since the 2003 season. The Tennessee Titans have lost five of their last seven road games. Marcus Mariota is completing 62 percent of his passes for 3,232 yards, 13 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Mariota has one or less touchdown passes in seven of his last eight games. Delanie Walker and Rishard Matthews have combined for 1,602 receiving yards and seven touchdowns Eric Decker has 54 receptions. The Tennessee Titans ground game is averaging 114.6 yards per contest, and Derrick Henry leads the way with 744 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 22.3 points and 328 yards per game. Wesley Woodyard leads the Tennessee Titans with 124 tackles, Derrick Morgan has 7.5 sacks and Kevin Byard has eight interceptions. 

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans - 1/6/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs head into this game on a four-game winning streak and hope to make the divisional playoff round for a third straight season. The Kansas City Chiefs have won four of their last five home games. Alex Smith is completing 67.5 percent of his passes for 4,042 yards, 26 touchdowns and five interceptions. Smith has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last eight games. Kareem Hunt and Travis Kelce have combined for 2,221 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while Albert Wilson has 42 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 118.9 yards per contest, and Hunt leads the way with 1,327 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 21.2 points and 365.1 yards per game. Daniel Sorensen leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 89 tackles, Justin Houston has 9.5 sacks and Marcus Peters has five interceptions.

The Titans are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 road games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 playoff games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Kansas City, the road team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. The under is 6-2 in Chiefs last 8 games overall and the under is 8-3 in Titans last 11 games in January.

Points in playoff games are nice to have, but you could make a case the Tennessee Titans are the worst team in the entire playoff field. The Titans have a lot of bad losses on their resume, especially recently, and they haven't been good on the road. The Kansas City Chiefs have had their ups and downs as well, but they finished the season strong, have one of the best home crowds in the sport and have the playoff experience. We know what we're getting with the Chiefs, and the same can't be said about the Titans, a young squad that has very limited playoff experience on its roster. I'd probably wait for the line to drop a bit or even buy down half a point to avoid the hook, but Kansas City should win this game by at least a touchdown. There's just not much that makes me think the Titans can hang in this game if the Chiefs play to their potential. 

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