Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles - 1/13/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Atlanta Falcons (11-6) at Philadelphia Eagles (13-3)
NFL Football: Saturday, January 13, 2018 at 4:35 pm (Lincoln Financial Field)
The Line: Philadelphia Eagles +2.5 -- Over/Under: 44 See the Latest Odds
Coming up on Saturday from Lincoln Financial Field, the Atlanta Falcons and the Philadelphia Eagles will be meeting up in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs.
The Falcons come into this game after a 10-6 regular season. Atlanta started out with three straight wins, but then fell into a skid and lost four of their next five. The Falcons would finish the year strong, winning six of their final eight games.
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Atlanta bagged a nice victory in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs last weekend, taking out the Rams 26-13. In that game, Atlanta QB Matt Ryan put up 218 yards with one TD, while Devonta Freeman led the way on the rush with 66 yards and one TD from 18 carries.
Over on the Eagles’ side, they’re coming off a great season in which they went 13-3, cruising to a first-round bye in the playoffs and the top seed in the NFC. Philadelphia lost QB Carson Wentz late in the season though, and haven’t looked all that solid at the position over the last few games.
With Wentz out, Nick Foles will be in the driver’s seat for the Eagles, and he’s managed to put up 537 yards with five TDs and two picks in limited action this year. Leading the Philly rush is LeGarrette Blount, with 766 yards and two TDs, while Zach Ertz is the top Eagles receiver with 824 yards and eight TDs from 74 catches.
The Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last four Saturday games and 5-2 ATS versus a team with a winning record. Atlanta is also 14-6 ATS in their last 20 versus the NFC and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games.
Meanwhile, the Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last six divisional playoff games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games. Philly is also 10-4 ATS in their last 14 versus the NFC and 1-4 ATS in their last five Saturday games.
Atlanta looked pretty good in the Wild Card game, but the result was far from assured until late in the fourth—even though the Falcons never trailed. The big positive to take away here is the Atlanta defense, which shut down the NFL’s top scoring squad. That doesn’t bode well for Philly, who has had to retool their offense to a new QB. That said, I’m still leaning toward the Eagles here. Foles is not a game-breaking quarterback, but he’s experienced and confident enough to get some production from his fellow offensive stars. I think that could be just enough for the Eagles to manage a home win here.