New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles - 2/4/18 Super Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles - 2/4/18 Super Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Philadelphia Eagles (15-3) at New England Patriots (15-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, February 4, 2018 at 6:30 pm (U.S. Bank Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots -5.5 -- Over/Under: 48 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles meet Sunday in Super Bowl 52 at U.S. Bank Stadium. 

The New England Patriots have a chance to win their sixth Super Bowl title in franchise history, all of which have come since the 2001 NFL season. The New England Patriots have won seven of their last eight non-home games. Tom Brady is completing 66.3 percent of his passes for 4,577 yards, 32 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Brady has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 10 games. Rob Gronkowski and Brandin Cooks have combined for 2,166 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns while Danny Amendola has 61 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 118.1 yards per contest, and Dion Lewis leads the way with 896 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 18.5 points and 366 yards per game. Devin McCourty leads the New England Patriots with 97 tackles, Trey Flowers has 6.5 sacks and Duron Harmon has four interceptions. 


The Philadelphia Eagles have a chance to win their first Super Bowl title in franchise history and first championship overall since the 1960 season. The Philadelphia Eagles have won six of their last eight non-home games. Nick Foles is completing 56.4 percent of his passes for 537 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Foles is coming off a three-touchdown performance in which he had 352 passing yards. Zach Ertz and Alshon Jeffery have combined for 1,613 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns while Nelson Agholor has 62 receptions. The Philadelphia Eagles ground game is averaging 132.2 yards per contest, and LeGarrette Blount leads the way with 766 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Philadelphia is allowing 18.4 points and 306.5 yards per game. Nigel Bradham leads the Philadelphia Eagles with 88 tackles, Brandon Graham has 9.5 sacks and Patrick Robinson has four interceptions.

The Eagles are 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games, 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 36-16-2 ATS in their last 54 games overall. The road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings, underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The under is 10-4 in Patriots last 14 games overall and the under is 10-4-1 in Eagles last 15 playoff games.

I said when the Philadelphia Eagles played the Atlanta Falcons and Minnesota Vikings that they would win because they have a great defense and running game. I also gave the Jacksonville Jaguars a shot against the New England Patriots because they have the same formula, and while they didn't win, they covered the number we care about. Everybody falls in love with the quarterback position, and while it's important, you always have a chance to win when you lockup on defense and can control the game with a sound running game. The Eagles are a complete team that didn't rely 100 percent on Carson Wentz. Also, we just saw Foles carve up the Minnesota Vikings, possibly the best defense in the league. You have to have more confidence in him now than you did before. Folks can say he did it at home, and while home field does help, those fans weren't helping him make those throws downfield. You can move the ball on the Patriots defense, and the Eagles have more than enough weapons to expose it. The Eagles have a pass rush capable of getting after Brady, and it doesn't help that we still have no idea about the concussion that knocked out Rob Gronkowski. There's also the fact each of the last six Super Bowls that have included the Patriots have either gone into overtime or been decided by four or less points. Physical play still matters in this league, and the Eagles have the edge in that department. Expect a tight game, and have those points in your pocket.

See you next season!


Randy’s Pick Philadelphia Eagles +5.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.