Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles - 9/6/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles - 9/6/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Atlanta Falcons (11-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (16-3)

NFL Football: Thursday, September 6, 2018 at 8:20 pm (Lincoln Financial Field)

The Line: Philadelphia Eagles -5.5 -- Over/Under: 46.5

TV: NBC

The Atlanta Falcons and the Philadelphia Eagles will be meeting up at Lincoln Financial Field on Thursday to kick off the 2018 NFL regular season. 

The Falcons went 0-4 in the preseason, falling to the Jets, Chiefs, Jaguars and Dolphins. They were only exhibition games, but it’s a little concerning that Atlanta scored just 27 combined points across those four weeks. 

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Leading the Falcons once again at QB is veteran Matt Ryan, who managed to put up 4095 yards with 20 touchdowns and 12 picks last year. Ryan’s favorite target is star Atlanta receiver Julio Jones, who caught 88 balls for 1444 yards and three scores last year. 

Over on the Super Bowl champion Eagles’ side, they managed to go just 1-3 in the preseason this year. Philly lost 31-14 to the Steelers in the opener, then fell 37-20 to the Patriots before a weird 5-0 defeat by Cleveland. The Eagles eked out a 10-9 win over the Jets in the finale. 

The Eagles’ quest for a repeat of their dramatic Super Bowl run starts out with some injury questions, as Nick Foles will take over for the injured Carson Wentz (who has no timetable yet for his return). In all likelihood, Alshon Jeffery will be out for this one as well, but Jay Ajayi remains on track to take the field. 

The Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last eight Thursday games and 4-1 ATS in their last five in September. Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games and the under is 7-0 in the last seven overall. 

Meanwhile, the Eagles are 4-1 in the last five games in Week 1 and 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games. Philly is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 versus the NFC and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games in September. 

Atlanta retains some key players from their run to the Divisional Round of the playoffs last year, and they’ll need them as they fight it out in a tough division once again this season. Ryan is going to need to get the offense going quickly here to alleviate some concerns about that unit, though. As for the Eagles, the injury questions loom large, but considering they found a way to power past some player shuffling last year I’m not overly worried. The line here is kind of “blah,” but I think the Eagles can pull it out. The under probably looks like the best play though.

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Andrew’s Pick Under 46.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.