Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks - 9/9/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports
Seattle Seahawks (9-7) at Denver Broncos (5-11)
NFL Football: Sunday, September 9, 2018 at 4:25 pm (Sports Authority Field at Mile High)
The Line: Denver Broncos -1 -- Over/Under: 42
The Seattle Seahawks and the Denver Broncos will tangle in Week 1 NFL action from Sports Authority Field on Sunday, September 9.
Seattle comes into this one following an “almost” year in which they went 9-7. The Seahawks finished in second place in the NFC West and failed to qualify for the playoffs. It was the first time Seattle had been shut out of the postseason since 2011.
In the preseason this year, Seattle went 0-4. Following an opening-week loss to the Colts 19-17, the Seahawks fell to the Chargers 24-14, the Vikings 21-20 and the Raiders 30-19 in the final week.
Over on the Broncos’ side, they’re fresh off a 2017 that saw them go 5-11 in a disappointing effort all around. Denver fell to the basement of the AFC West, and their eight-game losing streak sealed their fate.
In the 2018 preseason, the Broncs whiffed on their first pair of games 42-28 to the Vikings and 24-23 to the Bears before taking a 29-17 win over the Redskins. In the final exhibition game versus the Cardinals, the Broncos scored 18 points in the second half for a 21-10 win.
The Seahawks are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven in Week 1. Seattle is also 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games on grass and 1-5 ATS in their last six games in September.
Meanwhile, the Broncos are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games in September and 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games in Week 1. Denver is 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
At face value, this seems like a no-brainer Seattle pick. That said, the Seahawks are not what they once were a few seasons back—especially on defense—and are rolling on name recognition alone. Denver doesn't have a lot to bank on either; they’ve got major questions on offense and will be relying on their defenders to carry them in the early-going—which isn’t a sure bet by any means either. The Broncos’ main advantage is an at-home opener against a retooling opponent. I am tentatively going to take Seattle if I can find them at +3 or better, but otherwise I’m staying far, far away from this game.