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Houston Texans at New England Patriots - 9/9/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Texans (0-0) at New England Patriots (0-0)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 9, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Gillette Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots -6 -- Over/Under: 51 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Houston Texans and New England Patriots meet Sunday in NFL action at Gillette Stadium. 

The Houston Texans won just four games last year but enter this season as a popular Super Bowl bet. The Houston Texans have won six of their last eight regular season openers. The Texans will be much better this season with the return of quarterback Deshaun Watson and arguably the best defensive player in JJ Watt. Watson showed just how effective he could be as a rookie and was highly explosive when given a larger workload. Injuries were the main reason the Texans didn’t accomplish much last season, as it’s tough to win when you lose two of the teams top players. The Texans are still one of the more balanced teams in the league, it’s a matter of staying healthy and hoping coach Bill O'Brien doesn’t get in the way much. The Houston Texans have lost each of their last seven regular season road games. 

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Houston Texans at New England Patriots - 9/9/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports

The New England Patriots enter another season with one thing on their mind, as they’ve made the Super Bowl in three of the last four years. The New England Patriots have 12 five of their last 14 regular season openers. The Patriots may have lost a few notable names during the offseason and have some off the field issues with outside noise, but there’s two constants that remain; Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. As long as those two guys are leading the Pats, New England remains the favorite to win the Super Bowl, which it is entering this season. It doesn’t get much easier than that. As for the team itself, I’ll be watching the Patriots offensive line, as there were some issues a year ago and protection is key considering Brady is now 41 years old and only a hit away from everything crumbling. The New England Patriots have won each of their last five regular season home games.

The Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in September, 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 home games and 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 games overall. The Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New England, 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings and the favorite is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

The Houston Texans are my pick to win the Super Bowl, as they're explosive offensively with a leader at quarterback and the defense can go toe-to-toe with any in the league. I'm not high on the New England Patriots, as quarterbacks don't play well in their 40s and the drop off is rather quick. The offense has questions outside of Brady, the defense had serious holes last year and there's bad vibes off the football field as well. These don't feel like the same unbeatable Pats from years past. Also, the Texans nearly beat the Patriots last year in New England, so I'm not sure the reason for all the love here. There's better and safer options on the board, but I'll take the points just for how strong I am on the Texans this season.

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