New Orleans Saints vs. Cleveland Browns - 9/16/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Orleans Saints vs. Cleveland Browns - 9/16/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

Cleveland Browns (0-0-1) at New Orleans Saints (0-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 16, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)

The Line: New Orleans Saints -8 -- Over/Under: 50 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Cleveland Browns and New Orleans Saints meet Sunday in NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

The Cleveland Browns have a chance to produce back-to-back positive results for the first time since November of 2014 after tying with the Pittsburgh Steelers opening week. The Cleveland Browns haven’t won a road game since October of 2015. Tyrod Taylor is completing 37.5 percent of his passes for 197 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Taylor has one or less touchdown passes in each of his last eight games. Jarvis Landry and Rashard Higgins have combined for 144 receiving yards on eight receptions while Josh Gordon has one reception. The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 177 yards per contest, and Taylor leads the way with 77 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 21 points and 472 yards per game. Joe Schobert leads the Cleveland Browns with eight tackles, Myles Garrett has two sacks and Denzel Ward has two interceptions. 

The New Orleans Saints need a victory here in order to prevent a fifth straight 0-2 start to a season. The New Orleans Saints have won seven of their last eight home games. Drew Brees is completing 82.2 percent of his passes for 439 yards, three touchdowns and zero interceptions. Brees has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last eight games. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara have combined for 292 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Ted Ginn Jr. has five receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 43 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 29 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 48 points and 529 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with eight tackles, Tyeler Davison has one tackle for loss and Cameron Jordan has one pass deflection.

Get the Experts BEST BETS For Today's Games

The Browns are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games, 2-10 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 games overall. The Saints are 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings, the road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

I'm not playing with the chalk in this contest, as the New Orleans Saints loss to the Bucs was one of the most bizarre results we've seen recently in opening day and killed a large portion of survivor leagues before they started. The Saints have also made slow starts to the season a habit, as they're a loss away from a fifth straight 0-2 start. I'm also not backing the Browns, as bettors love Cleveland for whatever reason, despite this franchise being dead last the last two years in covering numbers. Heck, even when the Browns don't lose SU, they can't win. Bottom line is give me the over if I have to bet this contest. The Saints defense clearly can't stop a nose bleed, and Brees and company should once again do what they want offensively, like they do most weeks at home. This will probably be another shootout, taking us over the total.

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Randy’s Pick Over 50

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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