Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints - 9/23/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints - 9/23/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

New Orleans Saints (1-1) at Atlanta Falcons (1-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 23, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Stadium)

The Line: Atlanta Falcons -3 -- Over/Under: 53 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons meet Sunday in NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

The New Orleans Saints look to get a game above a .500 record when they take to the road for the first time this season. The New Orleans Saints have won four of their last seven road games. Drew Brees is completing 81.3 percent of his passes for 682 yards, five touchdowns and zero interceptions. Brees has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last nine games. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara have combined for 434 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Ted Ginn Jr. has nine receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 52.5 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 75 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 33 points and 428 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 17 tackles, Cameron Jordan has two sacks and Marcus Williams has one interception.

The Atlanta Falcons also look to get a game above a .500 record by remaining unbeaten at home. The Atlanta Falcons have won five of their last six home games. Matt Ryan is completing 62 percent of his passes for 523 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Ryan has one or less touchdown passes in each of his last eight games. Julio Jones and Austin Hooper have combined for 316 receiving yards and one touchdown while Calvin Ridley has four receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 122 yards per contest, and Tevin Coleman leads the way with 126 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 21 points and 335.5 yards per game. De'Vondre Campbell leads the Atlanta Falcons with 15 tackles, Brian Poole has two sacks and Ricardo Allen has one interception.

Wonder who the Top Experts Picked? Click Here To Find Out

The Saints are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3. The home team is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings, the underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings and the under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings.

The Saints could easily be 0-2 SU this season, and they played two lesser teams on paper at home. The Falcons have looked sharp out the gate and would be unbeaten rather easily if they were able to finish a drive or two in Philly. The Saints and Falcons have split the last 10 meetings, but the home team has been on the winning side six times and has covered nine of the last 13 meetings. The Saints are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 road games as an underdog of at least three points. The Falcons have covered nine of their last 13 home games when favored by at least three points. The bottom line is the Falcons have been the sharper team and have beaten the Saints in three of the last four times they met in Atlanta. The Saints have some showing and proving to do before I can get behind them and their subpar start. Give me the Falcons at home and the cheap chalk.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Atlanta Falcons -3

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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