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Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings - 9/23/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Buffalo Bills (0-2) at Minnesota Vikings (1-0-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 23, 2018 at 1:00 pm (U.S. Bank Stadium)

The Line: Minnesota Vikings -16.5 -- Over/Under: 40.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings meet Sunday in NFL action at U.S. Bank Stadium.

The Buffalo Bills look for their first victory of the season to prevent an 0-3 start for the first time since 2010. The Buffalo Bills have lost five of their last seven road games. Josh Allen is completing 50 percent of his passes for 319 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Allen and Nathan Peterman have combined for 343 passing yards, one touchdown and four interceptions this season. Zay Jones and Logan Thomas have combined for 120 receiving yards on seven receptions while Chris Ivory has one reception. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 83.5 yards per contest, and LeSean McCoy leads the way with 61 yards on 16 carries. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 39 points and 359 yards per game. Lorenzo Alexander leads the Buffalo Bills with 15 tackles, Tremaine Edmunds has one sack and Phillip Gaines has one pass deflection. 

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Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings - 9/23/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Vikings look for a second victory to begin a season three weeks unbeaten for the second time in the last three years. The Minnesota Vikings have won six straight home games. Kirk Cousins is completing 65.5 percent of his passes for 669 yards, six touchdowns and one interception. Cousins has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last nine games. Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs have combined for 404 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Dalvin Cook has nine receptions. The Minnesota Vikings ground game is averaging 92 yards per contest, and Cook leads the way with 78 yards on 26 carries. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 22.5 points and 339 yards per game. Harrison Smith leads the Minnesota Vikings with 15 tackles, Danielle Hunter has one sack and Mike Hughes has one interception.

The Bills are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 3 and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. The Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September, 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 home games and 43-20 ATS in their last 63 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 home games and the under is 9-4 in Bills last 13 games on fieldturf.

The Buffalo Bills are simply an awful football team right now and there's no getting around it. I doubt anything changes with their quarterback situation on the road against one of the best, most aggressive defenses in the league. Cousins is also starting to get comfortable with his new offense, so the Vikings are quickly becoming a confident, balanced football team. The Minnesota Vikings are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games as a double-digit favorite. The Buffalo Bills have covered just two of their last seven games as a double-digit underdog. Everybody knows I'm not the chalk guy and try my best to avoid monster numbers whenever I can. I honestly wouldn't touch this game, but if forced to pick, I'm more confident in a Vikings' blowout than I am in the Bills hanging around. The Bills have shown us little to nothing two games into the season and are playing the best team they've faced yet. 

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