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Detroit Lions vs. New England Patriots - 9/23/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New England Patriots (1-1) at Detroit Lions (0-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 23, 2018 at 8:20 pm (Ford Field)

The Line: Detroit Lions +6.5 -- Over/Under: 51.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: NBC

The New England Patriots and Detroit Lions meet Sunday in NFL action at Ford Field.

The New England Patriots look to get a game above a .500 record and avoid back-to-back losses for the first time since the end of the 2015 season. The New England Patriots have won six of their last eight road games. Tom Brady is completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 511 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. Brady has two or more touchdown passes in nine of his last 13 games. Rob Gronkowski and James White have combined for 249 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Phillip Dorsett has 12 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 102 yards per contest, and Rex Burkhead leads the way with 86 yards on 24 carries. Defensively, New England is allowing 25.5 points and 403 yards per game. Stephon Gilmore leads the New England Patriots with 13 tackles, Trey Flowers has 1.5 sacks and Kyle Van Noy has one interception.

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Detroit Lions vs. New England Patriots - 9/23/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Lions could use a feel good victory here to avoid an 0-3 start for the second time in the last four years. The Detroit Lions have lost five of their last eight home games. Matthew Stafford is completing 61.6 percent of his passes for 633 yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions. Stafford has seven touchdown passes in his last three games. Kenny Golladay and Golden Tate have combined for 391 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Marvin Jones Jr. has eight receptions. The Detroit Lions ground game is averaging 68.5 yards per contest, and Kerryon Johnson leads the way with 60 yards on 13 carries. Defensively, Detroit is allowing 39 points and 347.5 yards per game. Tavon Wilson leads the Detroit Lions with 12 tackles, Devon Kennard has three sacks and Quandre Diggs has one interception.

The Patriots are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September and 37-17-2 ATS in their last 56 games overall. The Lions are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf and 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The over is 7-3 in Lions last 10 games overall and the under is 11-5 in Patriots last 16 games overall.

The New England Patriots aren't these unbeatable Super Bowl contenders the way many make them out to be, but there's no way I'm backing the Lions in any shape or form. One, Stafford has a brutal prime time record and Monday's game against the Jets didn't help that narrative. You know Bill Belichick will be eager to stick it to his former assistant coach and knows all of his defensive secrets. The Patriots have also followed eight of their last 10 losses with a victory of at least nine points. The New England Patriots have covered nine of their last 11 games when a favorite of at least six points. The Detroit Lions are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games when an underdog of at least six points. This has nothing to do with the Patriots being great, it's more of a fade from a bad Lions team that never shows up under the bright lights. Give me the Pats by a touchdown...

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