New England Patriots at Detroit Lions - 9/23/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports
New England Patriots (1-1) at Detroit Lions (0-2)
NFL Football: Sunday, September 23, 2018 at 8:20 pm (Ford Field)
The Line: Detroit Lions +6.5 -- Over/Under: 53.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The New England Patriots and the Detroit Lions face off in NFL action from Ford Field in week 3’s instalment of Sunday night football.
The New England Patriots will look to bounce back after falling back to .500 with a 31-20 loss to Jacksonville in their last outing. Tom Brady has completed 67.6% of his 74 pass attempts for 511 yards, 5 touchdowns and an interception while Rex Burkhead leads the Pats in rushing with 86 rushing yards. Rob Gronkowski leads the Pats in receiving with 138 yards while Phillip Dorsett has a team-high 12 catches. Defensively, Stephon Gilmore leads the Pats with 12 tackles while Trey Flowers and Deatrich Wise Jr. each have 1.5 sacks on the year. As a team, New England is averaging 345.5 yards of total offense and 23.5 points per game this season.
The Detroit Lions will look to rebound after falling to 0-2 with a 30-27 loss to the 49ers in their last outing. Matthew Stafford has completed 61.6% of his 99 pass attempts for 633 yards with 4 touchdowns that are negated by 4 interceptions. Kerryon Johnson leads the Lions with 60 rushing yards while Kenny Golladay has 203 receiving yards and Golden Tate and Theo Riddick each have 14 receptions this season. Defensively, Devon Kennard leads the Lions with 3 sacks while Tavon Wilson is Detroit’s leading tackler with 9 tackles this season. Detroit is averaging 383 yards of total offense, including the 6th-most passing yards in the NFL with 314.5 yards through the air per game in addition to 22 points per game this season. The Lions are also solid against the pass, allowing the 4th-fewest passing yards in the NFL with 168 yards per game through the first two games of the year.
New England is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a losing record and 43-18-1 ATS in their last 62 games following a loss while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Detroit is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on turf and 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 week 3 matchups while the over is 8-2 in their last 10 home games. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
Laying a touchdown on the road can get dicey from time-to-time, but let’s be realistic, if New England can’t take down Detroit, there are some problems. The Lions’ culture under new head coach Matt Patricia (who ironically coached for the Patriots up until this season) is starting to become toxic with the rumour that Patricia has already lost some of the players. Stafford can only do so much on his own, and if we have anything to go off of this season, the Lions have struggled at home already losing to an AFC East team in the Jets by 31 points. I’ll lay the touchdown with the better team here and that would be New England.