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Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers - 9/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Baltimore Ravens (2-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 30, 2018 at 8:20 pm (Heinz Field)

The Line: Pittsburgh Steelers -3 -- Over/Under: 50.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: NBC

The Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers meet Sunday in NFL action at Heinz Field.

The Baltimore Ravens look for their first road victory of the season to build on their impressive 2-1 record. The Baltimore Ravens have lost four of their last six road games. Joe Flacco is completing 63.6 percent of his passes for 889 yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions. Flacco has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last eight games. John Brown and Michael Crabtree have combined for 377 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Willie Snead IV has 12 receptions. The Baltimore Ravens ground game is averaging 86.7 yards per contest, and Alex Collins leads the way with 116 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing 17 points and 273 yards per game. Kenny Young leads the Baltimore Ravens with 22 tackles, Terrell Suggs has 2.5 sacks and Tony Jefferson has one interception.  

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Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers - 9/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The Pittsburgh Steelers look for their first home victory of the season to rebound from what has been a rough start to the season. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won five of their last seven home games. Ben Roethlisberger is completing 66.2 percent of his passes for 1,140 yards, seven touchdowns and four interceptions. Roethlisberger has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 12 games. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Antonio Brown have combined for 566 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Jesse James has nine receptions. The Pittsburgh Steelers ground game is averaging 90 yards per contest, and James Conner leads the way with 213 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 30 points and 410.3 yards per game. Jon Bostic leads the Pittsburgh Steelers with 21 tackles, T.J. Watt has three sacks and Cameron Sutton has one interception.

The Ravens are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. The Steelers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Ravens are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Pittsburgh, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Ravens and Steelers games are physical and usually close, as four of the last six meetings have been decided by four or less points. That's probably why many are backing the Ravens and the free field goal, but I like the Steelers here. The Pittsburgh Steelers showed signs of life and energy in Tampa Bay and pretty much had that game won in the first half before allowing a big second half comeback that wasn't really necessary. Roethlisberger was more consistent through the air and the running game came away with big plays down the stretch. The Ravens have arguably the best defense three weeks into the season, but the Ravens are always good defensively, and that hasn't stopped the Steelers from averaging 32 points against them in the last three meetings. The Steelers make a statement Sunday night. I'll eat the chalk.

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