Chicago Bears vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 9/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) at Chicago Bears (2-1)
NFL Football: Sunday, September 30, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Soldier Field)
The Line: Chicago Bears -2.5 -- Over/Under: 48.5 See the Latest Odds
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Chicago Bears meet Sunday in NFL action at Soldier Field.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers look for their second road victory of the season to build on their impressive 2-1 start to the season. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost seven of their last nine road games. Ryan Fitzpatrick is completing 70.2 percent of his passes for 1,230 yards, 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. Fitzpatrick is averaging a touchdown pass every 10 pass attempts this season. Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson have combined for 679 receiving yards and six touchdowns while O.J. Howard has 11 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 72.7 yards per contest, and Peyton Barber leads the way with 124 yards on 43 carries. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 30.3 points and 433.3 yards per game. Lavonte David leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 20 tackles, Jason Pierre-Paul has three sacks and Justin Evans has one interception.
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The Chicago Bears have a chance to win three straight games for the first time since the beginning of the 2013 season. The Chicago Bears have split their last six home games. Mitchell Trubisky is completing 69.2 percent of his passes for 591 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Trubisky has one or less touchdown passes in 10 of his last 11 games. Allen Robinson and Trey Burton have combined for 284 receiving yards and one touchdown while Taylor Gabriel has 15 receptions. The Chicago Bears ground game is averaging 115.7 yards per contest, and Jordan Howard leads the way with 178 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Chicago is allowing 20.5 points and 323 yards per game. Danny Trevathan leads the Chicago Bears with 20 tackles, Khalil Mack has four sacks and Prince Amukamara has one interception.
The Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4 and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in September, 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago. The under is 8-1 in Bears last 9 games overall and the over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games overall.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been shaky at best defensively this season, and that's putting a lot of pressure on Fitzpatrick to play at a level he's not used to playing. While it makes for a fun story, there's a reason Fitzpatrick has bounced around from team to team throughout his career. Only the Kansas City Chiefs are allowing more yards per game than the Buccaneers, and it's tough to win trading punches like that each week. The Chicago Bears aren't pretty offensively, but they're proving to be elite defensively and continue to get relentless pressure on the quarterback. With Tampa Bay dropping back and throwing deep passes all day, that's not going to fly against this Bears front seven. This is going to be one of those games where Fitzpatrick probably looks like old Fitzpatrick. I'll lay the small chalk with the Bears at home.