Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts - 9/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Thomas J. Russo-USA TODAY Sports
Houston Texans (0-3) at Indianapolis Colts (1-2)
NFL Football: Sunday, September 30, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)
The Line: Indianapolis Colts -1 -- Over/Under: 47 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Houston Texans and the Indianapolis Colts meet in a week 4 AFC South division tilt from Lucas Oil Stadium in NFL action on Sunday afternoon.
The Houston Texans will be looking for their first win of the season after dropping to 0-3 with a 27-22 loss to the New York Giants in their last outing. Deshaun Watson leads Houston with 871 yards passing on 59.4% completion with 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Lamar Miller has a team-high 176 rushing yards while DeAndre Hopkins leads Houston with 274 receiving yards and 20 receptions and Will Fuller V leads the Texans with 13 catches for 214 yards and 2 touchdowns. J.J. Watt leads the Texans with 3 sacks this season, while Kareem Jackson leads the Texans with 16 tackles on the year. Despite their record, as a team, the Texans are averaging the 8th-most total yardage and rushing yards per game with 396.3 yards of total offense and 124.7 rushing yards per game to go along with 19.7 points per game this season.
The Indianapolis Colts will look to get back to .500 after falling to 1-2 with a 20-16 loss to Philadelphia in their last outing. Andrew Luck has thrown for 662 yards in completing 68.5% of his 124 pass attempts with 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Jordan Wilkins has a Colts-high 120 rushing yards while T.Y. Hilton has a team-leading 17 catches for 179 yards and 2 touchdowns. On defense, Darius Leonard and Margus Hunt each have 3 sacks, with Leonard leading the way with 30 tackles this season. As a team, Indianapolis is averaging 290 yards of total offense in addition to 20 points per game this season.
Houston is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 division matchups while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 road games. Indianapolis is 30-11 ATS in their last 41 games against a team with a losing record and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 division matchups while the under is 10-1 in their last 11 games overall. Houston is 2-7-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams and 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Indianapolis.
Neither of these teams have had an ideal start to the year, but the Colts lost to the defending champions and a solid defensive Cincinnati team. Houston just can’t catch a break, and if you’re taking the point here, you’re basically picking the Texans to win outright and I just don’t see it happening on the road. I’ll lay the point with Indy in this spot.