Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts - 9/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Houston Texans (0-3) at Indianapolis Colts (1-2)
NFL Football: Sunday, September 30, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)
The Line: Indianapolis Colts -1 -- Over/Under: 47 See the Latest Odds
The Houston Texans and the Indianapolis Colts meet in a week 4 AFC South division tilt from Lucas Oil Stadium in NFL action on Sunday afternoon.
The Houston Texans will be looking for their first win of the season after dropping to 0-3 with a 27-22 loss to the New York Giants in their last outing. Deshaun Watson leads Houston with 871 yards passing on 59.4% completion with 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Lamar Miller has a team-high 176 rushing yards while DeAndre Hopkins leads Houston with 274 receiving yards and 20 receptions and Will Fuller V leads the Texans with 13 catches for 214 yards and 2 touchdowns. J.J. Watt leads the Texans with 3 sacks this season, while Kareem Jackson leads the Texans with 16 tackles on the year. Despite their record, as a team, the Texans are averaging the 8th-most total yardage and rushing yards per game with 396.3 yards of total offense and 124.7 rushing yards per game to go along with 19.7 points per game this season.
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The Indianapolis Colts will look to get back to .500 after falling to 1-2 with a 20-16 loss to Philadelphia in their last outing. Andrew Luck has thrown for 662 yards in completing 68.5% of his 124 pass attempts with 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Jordan Wilkins has a Colts-high 120 rushing yards while T.Y. Hilton has a team-leading 17 catches for 179 yards and 2 touchdowns. On defense, Darius Leonard and Margus Hunt each have 3 sacks, with Leonard leading the way with 30 tackles this season. As a team, Indianapolis is averaging 290 yards of total offense in addition to 20 points per game this season.
Houston is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 division matchups while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 road games. Indianapolis is 30-11 ATS in their last 41 games against a team with a losing record and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 division matchups while the under is 10-1 in their last 11 games overall. Houston is 2-7-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams and 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Indianapolis.
Neither of these teams have had an ideal start to the year, but the Colts lost to the defending champions and a solid defensive Cincinnati team. Houston just can’t catch a break, and if you’re taking the point here, you’re basically picking the Texans to win outright and I just don’t see it happening on the road. I’ll lay the point with Indy in this spot.