Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets - 9/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports
New York Jets (1-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1)
NFL Football: Sunday, September 30, 2018 at 1:00 pm (TIAA Bank Field)
The Line: Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5 -- Over/Under: 38 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The New York Jets and Jacksonville Jaguars meet Sunday in NFL action at TIAA Bank Field.
The New York Jets look for their second road win of the season to avoid a three-game losing streak and to get back to a .500 record. The New York Jets have lost six of their last seven road games. Sam Darnold is completing 60.2 percent of his passes for 701 yards, three touchdowns and five interceptions. Darnold enters this game with 93 career pass attempts under his belt. Quincy Enunwa and Terrelle Pryor have combined for 370 receiving yards and one touchdown while Robby Anderson has six receptions. The New York Jets ground game is averaging 106 yards per contest, and Isaiah Crowell leads the way with 171 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 19.3 points and 306.3 yards per game. Doug Middleton leads the New York Jets with 23 tackles, Jordan Jenkins has two sacks and Darron Lee has two interceptions.
The Jacksonville Jaguars look to rebound from their brutal loss last week to the Tennessee Titans while building on their 2-1 record. The Jacksonville Jaguars have won six of their last seven home games. Blake Bortles is completing 60.7 percent of his passes for 707 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Bortles has one or less touchdown passes in 11 of his last 16 games. Keelan Cole and Dede Westbrook have combined for 374 receiving yards and two touchdowns while T.J. Yeldon has 11 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 109.3 yards per contest, and Yeldon leads the way with 153 yards on 31 carries. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 14.7 points and 286.3 yards per game. Telvin Smith leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 23 tackles, Calais Campbell has three sacks and Myles Jack has one interception.
The Jets are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC. The Jaguars are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games in September, 14-6 ATS in their last 20 vs. AFC and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Jets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings and the over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
On paper, this is a brutal matchup for the Jets, as Darnold continues to make poor decisions with the football, is averaging an interception every 19 pass attempts and is going up against the best defense in the league. However, the Jaguars just lost last week to an injured Marcus Mariota and a banged up Titans offensive line. It doesn't matter how good the Jags defense is when Bortles can't make plays and the running game can't get going without Leonard Fournette. It feels like this is going to be another defensive battle where points will be tough to come by and it's wise to have a free touchdown in your back pocket. The New York Jets have covered five of their last eight games when an underdog of at least five points. The Jacksonville Jaguars have failed to cover 13 of their last 18 games when favored by at least five points. Give me the points.