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New Orleans Saints at New York Giants - 9/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Orleans Saints (2-1) at New York Giants (1-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 30, 2018 at 4:25 pm (MetLife Stadium)

The Line: New York Giants +3.5 -- Over/Under: 52 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The New Orleans Saints and New York Giants meet Sunday in NFL action at MetLife Stadium.

The New Orleans Saints look for their third straight victory overall and back-to-back road wins. The New Orleans Saints have split their last six road games. Drew Brees is completing 80.6 percent of his passes for 1,078 yards, eight touchdowns and zero interceptions. Brees has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last 10 games. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara have combined for 687 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Ted Ginn Jr. has 12 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 82.7 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 141 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 34.3 points and 421 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 26 tackles, Cameron Jordan has four sacks and Marcus Williams has one interception. 

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New Orleans Saints at New York Giants - 9/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Giants look for a statement NFC victory to get back to a .500 record and save their season. The New York Giants have lost six of their last eight home games. Eli Manning is completing 73.6 percent of his passes for 800 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Manning has one or less touchdown passes in seven of his last nine games. Odell Beckham Jr. and Sterling Shepard have combined for 423 receiving yards and one touchdown while Saquon Barkley has 21 receptions. The New York Giants ground game is averaging 87.7 yards per contest, and Barkley leads the way with 216 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 20.7 points and 343.3 yards per game. Alec Ogletree leads the New York Giants with 18 tackles, Lorenzo Carter has one sack and Janoris Jenkins has one interception.

The Saints are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September and 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Giants are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September, 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 4 and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC. The Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in New York, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and favorite is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

The New York Giants are one of those teams I just can't figure out, as they lose when I pick them to win and win when I pick them to lose. It would be nice if the real Giants decided to stand up. The New Orleans Saints have been deadly offensively thanks to Brees playing out of his mind, but you have to be concerned with that New Orleans defense. The Saints are 30th in total yards allowed per game and dead last in points allowed per game by at least 3.3 more points. It's been ugly and eventually it's going to catch up to the Saints if it doesn't improve quickly. The Giants have the explosive offensive weapons to take advantage of those Saints defensive issues, and playing at home should also help. In what's likely going to be another back and forth contest, I feel more confident having free points in my pocket.

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