Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos - 10/1/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) at Denver Broncos (2-1)
NFL Football: Monday, October 1, 2018 at 8:15 pm (Sports Authority Field at Mile High)
The Line: Denver Broncos +4.5 -- Over/Under: 55 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Kansas City Chiefs will visit the Denver Broncos at Sports Authority Field in NFL action on “Monday Night Football.”
The Chiefs roll into this one at a cool 3-0 on the young season. Kansas City has so far dispatched the Chargers 38-28, the Steelers 42-37 and the 49ers 38-27 just this past weekend.
In the San Francisco game, Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes posted 314 yards with three touchdowns, and Kareem Hunt led the rush with 44 yards and two scores. Travis Kelce was the lead Chiefs receiver with 114 yards on eight grabs.
Over on the Broncos’ side, they’re 2-1 on the year thus far. Denver opened it up with a 27-24 win over the Seahawks and a 20-19 thriller versus Oakland, then fell to the Ravens 27-14 in their last game.
In that Ravens loss, Broncos QB Case Keenum put up 192 yards and a pick, and Royce Freeman led the charge on the ground with 53 yards and a TD. Tops in receiving for Denver was Demaryius Thomas, with 63 yards on five catches.
The Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last eight overall and 6-1 ATS in their last seven versus the AFC. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in their last five Monday games and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games.
Meanwhile, the Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last five in Week 4 and 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 overall. Denver is 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 versus the AFC and 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 Monday games.
The Chiefs have drilled the scoreboard with at least 38 points in every game so far, and their offense is cooking behind their young quarterback. Normally I’d be a little concerned that they’ve also given up at least 27 points in every game as well, but that seems to be the norm in this year’s NFL.
With Denver coming off a tough loss on the road, it’s not hard to envision a better effort at home, but I’m not totally convinced the Broncos can hang in here. The line isn’t too bad, so I’m going to stick with the red-hot Chiefs.