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Denver Broncos at New York Jets - 10/7/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Broncos (2-2) at New York Jets (1-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 7, 2018 at 1:00 pm (MetLife Stadium)

The Line: New York Jets -1 -- Over/Under: 42.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Denver Broncos and the New York Jets meet in week 5 NFL action from MetLife Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Denver Broncos will look to bounce back after back-to-back losses dropped Denver back to .500 at 2-2 following their 27-23 loss to Kansas City in their last outing. Case Keenum has thrown for 988 yards, 3 touchdowns and 6 interceptions in completing 61.7% of his pass attempts this season while Phillip Lindsay leads Denver with 267 rushing yards and Royce Freeman has 219 yards and 3 touchdowns. Emmanuel Sanders leads Denver’s receiving corps with 24 catches for 314 yards while Demaryius Thomas has 20 receptions this season. Defensively, Von Miller has 4 sacks while Justin Simmons leads the Broncos with 23 tackles this season. As a team, Denver is averaging 383.2 yards of total offense per game, including 148.2 yards of rushing offense and 21 points per game this season.

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Denver Broncos at New York Jets - 10/7/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Jets will look to bounce back from a 1-3 start after losing their 3rd straight game with a 10-9 loss to the Eagles in their last outing. Sam Darnold has thrown for 868 yards, 4 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 57.5% passing while Isaiah Crowell leads the Jets with 171 rushing yards and 4 TDs. Quincy Enunwa leads the Jets’ receiving corps with 21 catches for 278 yards and a touchdown this season. Defensively, Henry Anderson leads New York with 2.5 sacks while Jamal Adams leads the Jets with 22 tackles and Darron Lee leads the Jets with a pair of interceptions this season. As a team, New York is averaging 289.2 yards of total offense and 22.2 points per game this season.

Denver is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games and 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 games overall while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a losing record. New York is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the over is 8-3 in their last 11 games following a loss. Denver is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

I’ve always said the Broncos’ defense is good enough that it always gives them a chance to win a football game, and that came back to bite me the last two weeks. However, Kansas City is special to start the year once again and Baltimore is a solid team in the NFC North. And while the Broncos are 0-3 ATS this season, the team isn’t that bad to be giving up points to the Jets here, even if Denver is on the road. Darnold is doing his best, but the Jets are starting to look like the same frustrating team that we’ve seen struggle over the years and I’m having a hard time imagining a rookie like Darnold figuring out one of the NFL’s best defensive units. I just think the wrong team is favoured here, so I’ll take the free point with Denver in a game I think the Broncos win easily.

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