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Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills - 10/7/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tennessee Titans (3-1) at Buffalo Bills (1-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 7, 2018 at 1:00 pm (New Era Field)

The Line: Buffalo Bills +4.5 -- Over/Under: 39.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Tennessee Titans and the Buffalo Bills meet in week 5 NFL action from New Era Field on Sunday afternoon.

The Tennessee Titans will look to build on their three game winning streak after taking down Philadelphia by a final score of 26-23 in overtime in their last outing to improve to 3-1 this season. Marcus Mariota has thrown for 547 yards, 2 touchdowns and 3 picks in completing 66.2% of his pass attempts while Derrick Henry leads the Titans in rushing with 163 yards on the ground and Dion Lewis has chipped in 143 yards. Corey Davis leads the Titans’ receiving corps with 22 catches for 312 yards this season. Defensively, Jurrell Casey leads the Titans with 3 sacks while Wesley Woodyard and Malcolm Butler share the Tennessee lead in the tackling department with 23 apiece this season. As a team, Tennessee is averaging 312.2 yards of total offense and 18.8 points per game this season.

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Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills - 10/7/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports

The Buffalo Bills will look for a win to avoid a 1-4 start after losing three of their first four games thanks to a 22-0 shutout loss to the Green Bay Packers in their last outing. Josh Allen has thrown for 666 yards, 2 touchdowns and 4 interceptions in completing 53.4% of his pass attempts this season. Allen also leads the Bills with 116 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns while Zay Jones leads the Bills with 10 catches for 144 receiving yards. Defensively, Jerry Hughes leads the Bills with a pair of sacks while Tremaine Edmunds is Buffalo’s leading tackler with 21 tackles this season. As a team, Buffalo is averaging 220.8 yards of total offense per game, including the fewest passing yards per game (132.5) and the second-fewest points per game (12.5) this season. 

Tennessee is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 10-22 ATS in their last 32 road games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record. Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record while the over is 17-5 in their last 22 home games. Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

The Titans aren’t doing it pretty, but the fact is that the Titans are getting the job done, winning three straight games by three points each as underdogs. The Bills followed up their win over Minnesota by putting up a dud against Green Bay against a Packers bunch that’s basically playing with a one-legged QB right now and couldn’t put a single point on the board. Home or away, Tennessee is just the better team right now and should be able to get the job done, so I’ll lay the points with Tennessee in a game I see the Titans winning by at least a touchdown. 

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