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New Orleans Saints vs. Washington Redskins - 10/8/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington Redskins (2-1) at New Orleans Saints (3-1)

NFL Football: Monday, October 8, 2018 at 8:15 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)

The Line: New Orleans Saints -6.5 -- Over/Under: 52.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Washington Redskins and New Orleans Saints meet Monday in NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

The Washington Redskins look for their second road victory of the season and are coming off a bye week. The Washington Redskins have lost six of their last eight road games. Alex Smith is completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 767 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Smith has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last 10 games. Jordan Reed and Chris Thompson have combined for 323 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Paul Richardson has nine receptions. The Washington Redskins ground game is averaging 137.7 yards per contest, and Adrian Peterson leads the way with 236 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Washington is allowing 14.7 points and 278 yards per game. Mason Foster leads the Washington Redskins with 27 tackles, Matt Ioannidis has three sacks and D.J. Swearinger has two interceptions. 

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New Orleans Saints vs. Washington Redskins - 10/8/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

The New Orleans Saints look for a fourth straight victory to build on their lead in the NFC South. The New Orleans Saints have won eight of their last nine home games. Drew Brees is completing 75.8 percent of his passes for 1,295 yards, eight touchdowns and zero interceptions. Brees has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last 11 games. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara have combined for 781 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Benjamin Watson has 13 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 104.5 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 275 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 30.3 points and 390.5 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 37 tackles, Cameron Jordan has four sacks and Marcus Williams has one interception.

The Redskins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC, 7-19 ATS in their last 26 Monday games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October. The Saints are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games in October, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Monday games. The Redskins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New Orleans, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

The Washington Redskins come into this game as one of the top defensive teams in the league, but I do question how much that has to do with playing just three games and one of those teams being the brutal, brutal Arizona Cardinals. The New Orleans Saints are averaging 38 points and 461.5 yards of offense in their last two games. The Saints defense is still questionable at best, but it probably doesn't matter much if that offensive production continues. The Washington Redskins have failed to cover 10 of their last 16 games when an underdog of at least four points. The New Orleans Saints have failed to cover 16 of their last 22 games when favored by at least four points. We're getting a lot of points with an improved Redskins team that's had an extra week to prepare. However, I'm not sure I trust these Redskins on the road just yet, as the three teams they've played have a combined SU record of 3-8-1 and their offense isn't built to score quickly and easily. If the Saints come anywhere close to what they've done the past few weeks, this game could get ugly. We also know how crazy the Mercedes-Benz Superdome gets during primetime games. I'm going to eat the chalk with the Saints at home.

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