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Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans - 10/14/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Buffalo Bills (2-3) at Houston Texans (2-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 14, 2018 at 1:00 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans -10 -- Over/Under: 41 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans meet Sunday in NFL action at NRG Stadium.

The Buffalo Bills look for their second road victory of the season to get back to a .500 record. The Buffalo Bills have lost six of their last nine road games. Josh Allen is completing 53.3 percent of his passes for 748 yards, two touchdowns and five interceptions. Allen has zero touchdown passes and three interceptions in his last two games. Zay Jones and Kelvin Benjamin have combined for 267 receiving yards and one touchdown while Chris Ivory has four receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 99.4 yards per contest, and LeSean McCoy leads the way with 170 yards on 45 carries. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 23.6 points and 330.8 yards per game. Tremaine Edmunds leads the Buffalo Bills with 38 tackles, Jerry Hughes has three sacks and Matt Milano has one interception. 

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Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans - 10/14/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Texans look for their third straight victory to also get back to a .500 record. The Houston Texans have lost five of their last eight home games. Deshaun Watson is completing 65.1 percent of his passes for 1,621 yards, eight touchdowns and five interceptions. Watson has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 10 games. DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller V have combined for 872 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Keke Coutee has 17 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 116.2 yards per contest, and Lamar Miller leads the way with 225 yards on 58 carries. Defensively, Houston is allowing 24.8 points and 364.2 yards per game. Zach Cunningham leads the Houston Texans with 38 tackles, J.J. Watt has six sacks and Tyrann Mathieu has one interception. 

The Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October. The Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and the under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. The under is 8-3 in Texans last 11 games overall and the under is 5-2 in Bills last 7 games overall.

The last time the Buffalo Bills were double-digit underdogs, they beat the snot out of the Minnesota Vikings for an outright victory. The Buffalo Bills are 7-7 ATS in their last 14 games when an underdog overall. The Houston Texans have needed overtime to earn both of their victories and haven't been a double-digit faovrite since November of 2013. I was high on the Texans entering the season and even considered them as a sneaky Super Bowl pick, but they have yet to play to their potential and Watson is dealing with a chest injury he suffered last week. When the Bills have lost, they've lost ugly, but they've also managed to win two games with almost zero production from the quarterback position. This isn't a game I'm looking to bet on the card, but if forced to pick, I want the points in my pocket simply due to the lackluster play from the Texans.

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