Baltimore Ravens vs. New Orleans Saints - 10/21/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Baltimore Ravens vs. New Orleans Saints - 10/21/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

New Orleans Saints (4-1) at Baltimore Ravens (4-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 4:05 pm (M&T Bank Stadium)

The Line: Baltimore Ravens -2.5 -- Over/Under: 49.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New Orleans Saints and Baltimore Ravens meet Sunday in NFL action at M&T Bank Stadium.

The New Orleans Saints are coming off a bye week and hope to build on their four-game winning streak while keeping their NFC South lead. The New Orleans Saints have won five of their last eight road games. Drew Brees is completing 77.9 percent of his passes for 1,658 yards, 11 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Brees has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 12 games. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara have combined for 870 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Benjamin Watson has 17 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 103.2 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 299 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 28 points and 369 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 43 tackles, Cameron Jordan has five sacks and Marcus Williams has one interception. 

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The Baltimore Ravens look to keep their lead in the AFC North and are coming off a rough three-game road trip. The Baltimore Ravens have won six of their last seven home games. Joe Flacco is completing 62.1 percent of his passes for 1,788 yards, nine touchdowns and four interceptions. Flacco has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 11 games. John Brown and Michael Crabtree have combined for 767 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Willie Snead IV has 30 receptions. The Baltimore Ravens ground game is averaging 99.2 yards per contest, and Alex Collins leads the way with 271 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing 12.8 points and 270.8 yards per game. Tony Jefferson leads the Baltimore Ravens with 36 tackles, Za'Darius Smith has 5.5 sacks and Brandon Carr has one interception.

The Saints are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games in October, 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games and 44-20-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Ravens are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games in October, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 7 and 6-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. The under is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games overall and the over is 6-2 in Saints last 8 games overall.

The New Orleans Saints have been an offensive machine as of late, have had an extra week to prepare and are outscoring teams by an average of 12 points during their four-game winning streak. The Baltimore Ravens haven't played a home game in a month, so they'll be thrilled for this contest, and they haven't allowed anymore than 14 points in five of their first six games. The New Orleans Saints have failed to cover four of their last six games when an underdog of at least two points. The Baltimore Ravens have covered seven of their last 11 games as a favorite of at least two points. It's tough to turn down free points with a rested Saints team and that offense that's clicking, but I have to side with the Ravens here. The Ravens are a physical bunch that's going to make the Saints uncomfortable and will hit Brees often in this contest. I'll eat the small chalk here with the better defense and more physical team at home.

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Randy’s Pick Baltimore Ravens -2.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.