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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals - 10/21/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cincinnati Bengals (4-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 8:20 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -6 -- Over/Under: 58.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: NBC

The Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday in NFL action at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Cincinnati Bengals look for their third road victory of the season to build on their lead in the AFC North. The Cincinnati Bengals have split their last eight road games. Andy Dalton is completing 65.1 percent of his passes for 1,674 yards, 14 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Dalton has two or more touchdown passes in 12 of his last 17 games. A.J. Green and Tyler Boyd have combined for 949 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while C.J. Uzomah has 15 receptions. The Cincinnati Bengals ground game is averaging 89.8 yards per contest, and Joe Mixon leads the way with 336 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 26.3 points and 409.2 yards per game. Nick Vigil leads the Cincinnati Bengals with 51 tackles, Geno Atkins has six sacks and Jessie Bates has two interceptions.  

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals - 10/21/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs hope to remain unbeaten at home while keeping their lead in the AFC. The Kansas City Chiefs have won each of their last five home games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 63.7 percent of his passes for 1,865 yards, 18 touchdowns and four interceptions. Mahomes has four touchdown passes and four interceptions in his last two games. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce have combined for 1,035 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Sammy Watkins has 22 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 112 yards per contest, and Kareem Hunt leads the way with 456 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 28.7 points and 468.2 yards per game. Anthony Hitchens leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 60 tackles, Dee Ford has four sacks and Ron Parker has one interception.

The Bengals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. The under is 46-20 in Chiefs last 66 home games and the over is 5-2 in Bengals last 7 games overall.

The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a tough last-second loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, but they've won two of their three road games and have scored no less than 21 points in all six games this season. The Kansas City Chiefs proved they're worth the hype after going toe-to-toe with the New England Patriots on the road and are averaging 32.3 points in their last three games. The Cincinnati Bengals have failed to cover six of their last nine games when an underdog of at least five points. The Kansas City Chiefs have covered five of their last eight games when a favorite of at least five points. It's to the point now with the Chiefs where you just ask yourself if the opposing team has the firepower to hang with this KC offense. If yes, you risk it by taking the points. If not, you back the Chiefs and the chalk. Nobody is stopping this Chiefs offense, and they're outscoring teams by 13.5 points in their two home games. I'm not confident Dalton can match the Chiefs on the road, and we just saw the Bengals ground game get stuffed last week. It also doesn't help the Bengals will be without one of their top defensive players in Nick Vigil. I'll gladly lay the six points with the Chiefs at home, as they're a team I'm not trying to step in front of.

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