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New England Patriots at Chicago Bears - 10/21/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New England Patriots (4-2) at Chicago Bears (3-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Soldier Field)

The Line: Chicago Bears +2.5 -- Over/Under: 48.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The New England Patriots and Chicago Bears meet Sunday in NFL action at Soldier Field.

The New England Patriots look to build on their three-game winning streak to keep pace in the AFC East. The New England Patriots have lost both of their road games this season. Tom Brady is completing 67.8 percent of his passes for 1,599 yards, 13 touchdowns and six interceptions. Brady has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last eight games. Rob Gronkowski and James White have combined for 728 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Chris Hogan has 15 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 123 yards per contest, and Sony Michel leads the way with 400 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 21 points and 379.3 yards per game. Devin McCourty leads the New England Patriots with 37 tackles, Deatrich Wise Jr. has 2.5 sacks and Stephon Gilmore has one interception. 

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New England Patriots at Chicago Bears - 10/21/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Bears look to remain undefeated at home while keeping pace in the competitive NFC North. The Chicago Bears have won each of their last three home games. Mitchell Trubisky is completing 70.2 percent of his passes for 1,261 yards, 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. Trubisky has one or less touchdown passes in 10 of his last 13 games. Taylor Gabriel and Allen Robinson have combined for 584 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Tarik Cohen has 21 receptions. The Chicago Bears ground game is averaging 130 yards per contest, and Jordan Howard leads the way with 272 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Chicago is allowing 19.2 points and 343.8 yards per game. Danny Trevathan leads the Chicago Bears with 32 tackles, Khalil Mack has five sacks and Eddie Jackson has two interceptions.

The Patriots are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games, 36-15-2 ATS in their last 53 games in October and 31-13 ATS in their last 44 games overall. The Bears are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 home games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings, the home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The under is 8-3 in Bears last 11 games overall and the under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 road games.

The New England Patriots still have their issues on defense and the offensive line, but they're as healthy as they've been at the skill positions and Tom Brady had been Tom Brady. The Chicago Bears are coming off a brutal loss to the Miami Dolphins and the defense didn't live up to the expectations most have put on them after the first month of the season. The New England Patriots have covered 13 of their last 19 games when favored by at least two points. The Chicago Bears are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games when an underdog of at least two points. The Bears are the type of team that can give the Pats issues, as they're going to put pressure on Brady and possibly create turnovers. The issue is this line is quite small and if you take it, you're basically saying the Bears beat the Patriots. I can't take a Trubisky led offense over Tom Brady. I just can't. So, I'll be the square and eat the small chalk. 

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