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Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers - 10/28/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cleveland Browns (2-4-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 28, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Heinz Field)

The Line: Pittsburgh Steelers -8 -- Over/Under: 49 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers meet Sunday in NFL action at Heinz Field.

The Cleveland Browns look for their first road victory of the season to rebound from a 2-4-1 record. The Cleveland Browns haven’t won a road game since October of 2015. Baker Mayfield is completing 57.8 percent of his passes for 1,291 yards, six touchdowns and five interceptions. Mayfield has three touchdown passes and two interceptions in his last two games. Jarvis Landry and David Njoku have combined for 786 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Rashard Higgins has 16 receptions. The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 135 yards per contest, and Nick Chubb leads the way with 253 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 25.3 points and 413.6 yards per game. Joe Schobert leads the Cleveland Browns with 49 tackles, Myles Garrett has seven sacks and Denzel Ward has three interceptions. 

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Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers - 10/28/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a bye week and hope to build on their two-game winning streak. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won six of their last nine home games. Ben Roethlisberger is completing 65.1 percent of his passes for 2,033 yards, 12 touchdowns and six interceptions. Roethlisberger has two or more touchdown passes in 11 of his last 15 games. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Antonio Brown have combined for 1,039 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Vance McDonald has 20 receptions. The Pittsburgh Steelers ground game is averaging 88.7 yards per contest, and James Conner leads the way with 453 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 25.7 points and 380.2 yards per game. Jon Bostic leads the Pittsburgh Steelers with 37 tackles, T.J. Watt has six sacks and Cameron Sutton has one interception. 

The Browns are 11-23-1 ATS in their last 35 vs. AFC, 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 road games and 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall. The Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Browns are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings and the underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 6-2 in Steelers last 8 games overall and the under is 16-6 in Browns last 22 games on grass.

The Cleveland Browns have won just two of their seven games this season, but four of those games have gone into overtime and six of the seven games have been decided by four or less points. That includes the season opener against the Steelers that resulted in a tie. The Pittsburgh Steelers have put together back-to-back solid performances and have had an extra week to prepare, so this could be the start of the breakout for the Steelers as they make a potential playoff push. The Cleveland Browns have failed to cover 11 of their last 14 games when an underdog of at least seven points. The Pittsburgh Steelers have failed to cover five of their last eight games when favored by at least seven games. Each of the last four games between the Browns and Steelers have been decided by four or less points. It's tough to turn down free eight points given everything leaning toward the Browns keeping another game close.

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