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Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs - 10/28/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Broncos (3-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 28, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -10 -- Over/Under: 53.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs meet in a week 8 AFC West division showdown from Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Denver Broncos will look for a big road win to build some steam after snapping a 4 game losing skid with a 45-10 win over Arizona in their last outing. Case Keenum has thrown for 1,848 yards, 8 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 63.4% passing while Phillip Lindsay leads the Broncos with 436 rushing yards and Royce Freeman has 4 rushing touchdowns this season. Emmanuel Sanders leads the Broncos with 46 catches for 603 yards while Demaryius Thomas has 33 grabs for 372 yards with each having 3 touchdowns through the air this season. Defensively, Von Miller leads Denver with 7.5 sacks and Bradley Chubb has 6.5 sacks while Justin Simmons leads the Broncos with 36 tackles this season. As a team, Denver is averaging 376.4 yards of total offense and 23.6 points per game this season.

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Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs - 10/28/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs will look for another win to improve on their 6-1 record after a 45-10 rout of Cincinnati on Sunday night football. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 2,223 yards, 22 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 64.9% passing while Kareem Hunt has rushed for 542 yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Hunt has 4 receiving touchdowns as well while Tyreek Hill leads KC with 41 catches for 635 yards and 7 scores and Travis Kelce has added 38 grabs for 563 yards and 3 TDs. Defensively, Dee Ford leads the Chiefs with 5 sacks and Allen Bailey has 4 sacks while Anthony Hitchens has a Chiefs-leading 37 tackles this season. As a team, Kansas City sits top-10 in total yardage (437.4 YPG/3rd in NFL), passing yards (313.1 YPG/5th in NFL), rushing yards (124.3 YPG/10th in NFL) and own the NFL’s highest-scoring offense with 37.1 points per game this season. 

Denver is 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games and 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 division games while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games against the AFC. Kansas City is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games while the under is 23-7 in their last 30 home games against a team with a losing road record. Denver is 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

As good as the Chiefs have been their defense has been the Achilles heel, allowing the most total yardage against per game in the league. However, I don’t trust the Broncos to put up much yardage for anything, as a win over a lowly Arizona team does nothing to impress me. Kansas City has been on fire offensively this season, and to me, this just boils down to the Broncos not being able to keep up punch-for-punch with the Chiefs here, who are a perfect 7-0 ATS this season. It’s a thick line but I think Kansas City gets the job done.

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