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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos - 10/28/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Broncos (3-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 28, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -10 -- Over/Under: 55.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday in NFL action at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Denver Broncos look for their second road victory of the season to get back to a .500 record. The Denver Broncos have lost nine of their last 11 road games. Case Keenum is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 1,848 yards, eight touchdowns and nine interceptions. Keenum has thrown at least one interception in all seven games this season. Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas have combined for 975 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Courtland Sutton has 14 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 125.1 yards per contest, and Phillip Lindsay leads the way with 436 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 23.4 points and 378 yards per game. Todd Davis leads the Denver Broncos with 51 tackles, Von Miller has 7.5 sacks and Justin Simmons has one interception. 

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos - 10/28/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs look for their seventh win of the season to build on their lead in the AFC. The Kansas City Chiefs have won each of their last six home games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 64.9 percent of his passes for 2,223 yards, 22 touchdowns and five interceptions. Mahomes has three or more touchdown passes in five of the eight games this season. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce have combined for 1,198 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Sammy Watkins has 26 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 124.3 yards per contest, and Kareem Hunt leads the way with 542 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 26 points and 435.4 yards per game. Anthony Hitchens leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 63 tackles, Dee Ford has five sacks and Ron Parker has two interceptions.

The Broncos are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games, 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. AFC and 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings, the road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings and the over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. The under is 46-20 in Chiefs last 66 home games and the under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 vs. AFC.

The Denver Broncos finally put some points on the board last week, but it came against the Arizona Cardinals, so not sure how much stock you put into that. The Kansas City Chiefs continue to steamroll teams, scoring 38 or more points in five of their seven games and four of their six victories have come by double digits. Oddsmakers can't put the Chiefs spreads high enough, which is something you usually see in college football. The case for the Broncos is that they have had extra time to prepare for this game, and while the offense struggles, the defense still has playmakers, producing 11 turnovers and 22 sacks. Also, five of the last seven games between the Broncos and Chiefs have been decided by 10 or less points, which includes when the teams met earlier this month. I've been on the Kansas City Chiefs bandwagon since week 1, but I'm going to take the points here. The number is too big for my taste.

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