Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns - 11/4/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Scott R. Galvin-USA TODAY Sports
Kansas City Chiefs (7-1) at Cleveland Browns (2-5-1)
NFL Football: Sunday, November 4, 2018 at 1:00 pm (FirstEnergy Stadium)
The Line: Cleveland Browns +8 -- Over/Under: 52 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Kansas City Chiefs and Cleveland Browns meet Sunday in NFL action at FirstEnergy Stadium.
The Kansas City Chiefs look for their fourth road win of the season to build on their lead in the AFC. The Kansas City Chiefs have won five of their last six road games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 65.6 percent of his passes for 2,526 yards, 26 touchdowns and six interceptions. Mahomes has three or more touchdown passes in six of the nine games this season. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce have combined for 1,347 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Sammy Watkins has 34 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 114.9 yards per contest, and Kareem Hunt leads the way with 592 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 25.6 points and 432.4 yards per game. Anthony Hitchens leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 71 tackles, Dee Ford has eight sacks and Ron Parker has two interceptions.
The Cleveland Browns could use a nice feel good victory here to snap a three-game losing streak. The Cleveland Browns have won two of their last three home games. Baker Mayfield is completing 58.3 percent of his passes for 1,471 yards, eight touchdowns and six interceptions. Mayfield has two touchdown passes in three of his last five games. Jarvis Landry and David Njoku have combined for 825 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Rashard Higgins has 16 receptions. The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 127.4 yards per contest, and Nick Chubb leads the way with 318 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 26.3 points and 414.5 yards per game. Jamie Collins Sr. leads the Cleveland Browns with 55 tackles, Myles Garrett has eight sacks and Denzel Ward has three interceptions.
The Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC, 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Browns are 11-24-1 ATS in their last 36 vs. AFC, 7-18 ATS in their last 25 home games and 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall. The Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings, the road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
The Kansas City Chiefs continue to be the scariest offense in the league, but it's important to note that four of their seven victories have been decided by 10 or less points. The Cleveland Browns have looked like the old Browns in two of their last three games, but six of their eight games this season have been decided by four or less points. The Kansas City Chiefs have failed t ocover nine of their last 11 games when favored by at least seven points. The Cleveland Browns have covered two of their last three games when an underdog of at least seven points. It's going to be interesting to see how the Browns respond to the firing of their head coach and if they have enough firepower to keep up with the Chiefs scoring. The trends all lean to the Browns and the points, but I can't do it here. Mayfield and company aren't polished enough to put up the 30-40 points needed to keep this thing close.