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Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs - 11/11/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Arizona Cardinals (2-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (8-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 11, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -16.5 -- Over/Under: 49.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

The Arizona Cardinals and Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday in NFL action at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Arizona Cardinals look for back-to-back wins for the first time this season to rebound from a 2-6 record. The Arizona Cardinals have lost two of their three road games this season. Josh Rosen is completing 55.6 percent of his passes for 1,072 yards, five touchdowns and six interceptions. Rosen enters this game with 169 career pass attempts under his belt. Christian Kirk and Larry Fitzgerald have combined for 767 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Ricky Seals-Jones has 19 receptions. The Arizona Cardinals ground game is averaging 67.5 yards per contest, and David Johnson leads the way with 394 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Arizona is allowing 24.9 points and 367.8 yards per game. Budda Baker leads the Arizona Cardinals with 72 tackles, Chandler Jones has 6.5 sacks and Tre Boston has three interceptions. 

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Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs - 11/11/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs look to remain undefeated at home to stay as the top seed in the AFC. The Kansas City Chiefs have won seven straight regular season home games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 66.2 percent of his passes for 2,901 yards, 29 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Mahomes has three or more touchdown passes in seven of the 10 games this season. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce have combined for 1,515 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns while Sammy Watkins has 39 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 117.6 yards per contest, and Kareem Hunt leads the way with 683 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 25.1 points and 427.4 yards per game. Anthony Hitchens leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 80 tackles, Dee Ford has eight sacks and Ron Parker has two interceptions.

The Cardinals are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games, 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games in November and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games, 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The home team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The under is 47-20-1 in Chiefs last 68 home games and the over is 15-6 in Cardinals last 21 road games

The Arizona Cardinals have had an extra week to prepare for this game, but it's tough to trust a team that's scored 18 or less points in seven of their first eight games. The Kansas City Chiefs have scored 30 or more points in eight of their first nine games and are outscoring teams by 17.25 points at home this season. The Arizona Cardinals are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games as a double-digit underdog. The Kansas City Chiefs have covered six of their last 10 games when a double-digit favorite. While there's a huge gap between these teams, I'm not into laying this big of chalk in NFL games where the margin of victory is often single digits. Instead, give me the over. The Chiefs have proven they're good for at least 30 points, meaning they could get us close to this total by themselves. 

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