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Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - 11/11/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-5) at Indianapolis Colts (3-5)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 11, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)

The Line: Indianapolis Colts -3 -- Over/Under: 47.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Jacksonville Jaguars and the Indianapolis Colts meet in an AFC South division matchup in week 10 NFL action from Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be out to snap a 4 game losing skid after falling to Philadelphia in their last outing by a final score of 24-18. Blake Bortles has thrown for 2,021 yards, 10 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 60.3% passing while T.J. Yeldon leads the Jags in rushing with 334 rushing yards this season. Dede Westbrook leads Jacksonville’s receiving corps with 33 catches for a team-high 435 yards and 3 touchdowns while Donte Moncrief and Keelan Cole each have 29 catches for a combined 754 yards. Defensively, Yannick Ngakoue and Calais Campbell are tied for the team lead with 5 sacks each while Telvin Smith Sr. has 49 tackles on the year. As a team, Jacksonville is averaging 352.5 yards of total offense and 16.9 points per game this season. The Jaguars are also extremely stout defensively, sitting 2nd in the NFL in total yardage against, allowing just 313.2 yards per game and the fewest passing yards in the league with 190 per game against this season. 

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Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - 11/11/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

The Indianapolis Colts will be looking to build on back-to-back wins, including a 42-28 triumph over Oakland in their last outing. Andrew Luck has thrown for 2,187 yards, 23 touchdowns and 8 interceptions this season on 65.8% passing. Marlon Mack leads Indy in rushing with 381 yards and 3 touchdowns while Eric Ebron leads the Colts with 36 catches for 394 yards and 7 touchdowns and T.Y. Hilton has 26 grabs for 353 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Darius Leonard, Jabaal Sheard and Margus Hunt each lead Indy with 4 sacks while Darius Leonard has a team-high 58 tackles this season. As a team, Indianapolis is averaging 381.5 yards of total offense and 28.9 points per game this season. 

Jacksonville is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 division games. Indianapolis is 32-13 ATS in their last 45 games against a team with a losing record and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 division games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Jacksonville is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

If you told me that at the beginning of the year, in this matchup, that the two teams would both be sitting at 3-5 and Indianapolis would be favoured by a field goal given their head-to-head history, I’d call you crazy. However, Jacksonville’s tough defence from last season has been easy to break down lately, allowing 114 points over their last 4 games. Sure, Indy’s last two wins have come against Buffalo and Oakland who are a combined 3-14 SU this season, but the Colts have still scored 34 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games and are surprisingly easier to trust offensively that the Jags are on defense, so I’ll lay the field goal with Indianapolis here.

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