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Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers - 11/11/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Dolphins (5-4) at Green Bay Packers (3-4-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 11, 2018 at 4:25 pm (Lambeau Field)

The Line: Green Bay Packers -10 -- Over/Under: 51.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Miami Dolphins and the Green Bay Packers meet in week 10 NFL action from Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon.

The Miami Dolphins will look to build some momentum after losing 4 of their last 6 games, but took a step in the right direction with a 13-6 win over the Jets in their last outing. Brock Osweiler has thrown for 1,034 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 63.8% passing while Frank Gore and Kenyan Drake have combined to rush for 787 yards and 3 touchdowns this season. Danny Amendola has 40 catches for 384 yards while Kenny Stills has 4 receiving TDs this season. Defensively, Cameron Wake leads the ‘Fins with 3 sacks while Kiko Alonso has a team-high 55 tackles this year. As a team, Miami is averaging 315.8 yards of total offense and 20.8 points per game this season.

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Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers - 11/11/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports

The Green Bay Packers will be looking to rebound from back-to-back losses, including a 31-17 loss to New England in their last outing. Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 2,542 yards, 15 touchdowns and an interception on 60.6% passing while Aaron Jones has rushed for 350 yards this season. Davante Adams leads the Pack with 58 catches for 730 yards and 7 touchdowns this season. Defensively, Blake Martinez, Kenny Clark and Kyler Fackrell each have a team-high 4 sacks with Martinez leading the Packers with 44 tackles this season. As a team, Green Bay is averaging 406.6 yards of total offense to go along with 24 points per game this season.

Miami is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November while the over is 6-2 in their last 8 games against a team with a losing record. Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall while the over is 23-8 in their last 31 games overall. 

This is a lot of points to lay, even for Green Bay at home, given their record. However, the last two losses came against playoff-caliber teams like Carolina and New England. Miami is also not the same team on the road that they are at home, losing their last 3 road games by a combined score of 107-47, an average margin of defeat of 20 points per game. This is a must-win for Green Bay if they’re going to remain in the playoff picture down the stretch and I think they treat this game like that and win this one by a couple of scores so I’ll lay the points with the Packers here.

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