New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals - 11/11/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals - 11/11/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

New Orleans Saints (7-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 11, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Paul Brown Stadium)

The Line: Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 -- Over/Under: 54 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New Orleans Saints and Cincinnati Bengals meet Sunday in NFL action at Paul Brown Stadium.

The New Orleans Saints look to build on their seven-game winning streak to chase the top seed in the NFC. The New Orleans Saints have won seven of their last 10 road games. Drew Brees is completing 76.3 percent of his passes for 2,336 yards, 18 touchdowns and one interception. Brees has two or more touchdown passes in nine of his last 15 games. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara have combined for 1,307 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Benjamin Watson has 26 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 112.1 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 490 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 27.3 points and 387.8 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 62 tackles, Cameron Jordan has five sacks and Marcus Williams has one interception. 

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The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a bye week and need a victory here to stay in the thick of the AFC North. The Cincinnati Bengals have won three of their last four home games. Andy Dalton is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 2,102 yards, 17 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Dalton has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last nine games. A.J. Green and Tyler Boyd have combined for 1,307 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while C.J. Uzomah has 17 receptions. The Cincinnati Bengals ground game is averaging 92.8 yards per contest, and Joe Mixon leads the way with 509 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 29.6 points and 447.8 yards per game. Jessie Bates leads the Cincinnati Bengals with 60 tackles, Carlos Dunlap has seven sacks and Shawn Williams has three interceptions.

The Saints are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf and 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

The New Orleans Saints are probably the best team in football right now, but you have to question if this is a trap game considering they had two big road wins over Baltimore and Minnesota, and they just took down the previously undefeated Los Angeles Rams. The Cincinnati Bengals have had an extra week to prepare for this game, but they've been up and down recently and have allowed 28 or more points in five of their last six games. The New Orleans Saints have failed to cover five of their last eight games when favored by at least three points. The Cincinnati Bengals have split their last 10 games ATS when an underdog of at least three points. This feels like a spot where the Saints could slip up given the mental toll of their last three games, but I'm also not looking to step in front of them. You're talking about a Saints team that just beat three contenders three different ways. Right now, the Saints are probably the most complete team and should be the current favorite to win the Super Bowl. I'm not betting against the Saints right now.

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Randy’s Pick New Orleans Saints -5.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.