Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints - 11/22/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Atlanta Falcons (4-6) at New Orleans Saints (9-1)
NFL Football: Thursday, November 22, 2018 at 8:20 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)
The Line: New Orleans Saints -13 -- Over/Under: 60 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints meet in the Thanksgiving nightcap from the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on Thursday night.
The Atlanta Falcons are in must-win mode after a 22-19 loss to Dallas in their last outing. Matt Ryan has thrown for 3,306 yards, 22 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 71.1% passing this season, while Tevin Coleman has rushed for a team-high 500 yards this season. Julio Jones leads Atlanta’s receiving corps with 73 catches for 1,158 yards while Calvin Rdiley has 39 catches for 532 yards and a team-high 7 touchdowns this season. Defensively, Takkarist McKinley leads Atlanta with 6 sacks while De’Vondre Campbell leads the Falcons with 39 tackles this season. As a team, Atlanta is averaging 403.4 yards of total offense and 26.3 points per game this season.
The New Orleans Saints will look to push their current winning streak to double digits after making in 9 wins in a row with a 48-7 rout of the defending champion Philadelphia Eagles in their last outing. Drew Brees has thrown for 2,964 yards, 25 touchdowns and 1 interception while Alvin Kamara has rushed for 617 yards and 11 touchdowns. Michael Thomas leads the Saints’ receiving corps with 82 grabs for 1,042 yards and 8 touchdowns while the aforementioned Kamara has 56 catches for 510 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Cameron Jordan and Sheldon Rankins are tied for the team-high with 6 sacks while Demario Davis leads New Orleans in tackling with 49 tackles this season. As a team, New Orleans sits top-6 in total yardage (427.1 YPG/4th in NFL), passing yardage (295.7 YPG/6th), rushing yards (131.4 YPG/6th) and scoring (37.8 PPG/1st) this season. The Saints have also been stout against the run, allowing the 2nd-fewest rushing yards per game in the league with 77.9 yards per game against this season.
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss. New Orleans is 14-6 in their last 20 division games and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall while the over is 19-8-1 in their last 28 home games. Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in New Orleans.
The lines are starting to get a little bit out of hand with the Saints, but that just goes to show you how well New Orleans has been playing from top to bottom. Atlanta is no pushover, and this game is must-win for the Falcons’ playoff hopes, but so was last week and the Falcons fell to Dallas in a more than winnable game for Atlanta.6 of New Orleans’ last 7 wins have come by double digits, and with the way the offense is clicking, we could add another one to the tally here. It’s a bit risky, but given what I’ve seen from both sides, I see no other choice but to lay the points with New Orleans here.