New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons - 11/22/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Atlanta Falcons (4-6) at New Orleans Saints (9-1)
NFL Football: Thursday, November 22, 2018 at 8:20 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)
The Line: New Orleans Saints -13 -- Over/Under: 59 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints meet Thursday on Thanksgiving in NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
The Atlanta Falcons need a win here to save their season after losing five of their last eight games. The Atlanta Falcons have lost three of their last four road games. Matt Ryan is completing 71.1 percent of his passes for 3,306 yards, 22 touchdowns and four interceptions. Ryan has one touchdown pass in three of his last six games. Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley have combined for 1,690 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Mohamed Sanu has 38 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 88.8 yards per contest, and Tevin Coleman leads the way with 500 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 27.6 points and 405.2 yards per game. De'Vondre Campbell leads the Atlanta Falcons with 55 tackles, Takkarist McKinley has 5.5 sacks and Damontae Kazee has five interceptions.
The New Orleans Saints look to build on their nine-game winning streak in hopes of inching closer to the top seed in the NFC. The New Orleans Saints have won four straight home games. Drew Brees is completing 76.9 percent of his passes for 2,964 yards, 25 touchdowns and one interception. Brees has two or more touchdown passes in 11 of his last 17 games. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara have combined for 1,552 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Tre'Quan Smith has 22 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 131.4 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 617 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 23.9 points and 358.2 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 70 tackles, Cameron Jordan has six sacks and Marcus Williams has two interceptions.
The Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Thursday games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Saints are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 vs. NFC South, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in New Orleans, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. The over is 19-8-1 in Saints last 28 home games. The under is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 road games.
The Atlanta Falcons looked like they turned their season around with three straight wins until they lost back-to-back games to the Cleveland Browns and the Dallas Cowboys. The New Orleans Saints remain the hottest team in the league with nine straight wins and each of their last four wins have been decided by 10 or more points. The Atlanta Falcons have covered their last five games as a double-digit underdog. The New Orleans Saints have split their last 10 games ATS as a double-digit favorite. The spreads for the New Orleans Saints are getting larger and larger by the week, but I did say about a month ago that I'm not looking to step in front of this team. For the most part, the Saints are beating the hell out of teams, and this game should be no different against an Atlanta Falcons defense that can't stop a nose bleed. Laying double-digit chalk on short rest in an NFL game sounds crazy, but I can't back the Falcons given the inconsistent play and the trash defense.