Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts - 11/25/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts - 11/25/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Dolphins (5-5) at Indianapolis Colts (5-5)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 25, 2018 at 4:25 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)

The Line: Indianapolis Colts -7.5 -- Over/Under: 51 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Dolphins and Indianapolis Colts meet Sunday in NFL action at the Lucas Oil Stadium.

The Miami Dolphins need a victory to get a game above a .500 record and stay in the thick of the AFC playoff race. The Miami Dolphins have lost four straight road games. Ryan Tannehill is completing 65.9 percent of his passes for 972 yards, eight touchdowns and five interceptions. Brock Osweiler and Ryan Tannehill have combined for 14 touchdown passes and nine interceptions this season. Danny Amendola and Albert Wilson have combined for 847 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Kenny Stills has 19 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 105.9 yards per contest, and Frank Gore leads the way with 528 yards on 117 carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 25.6 points and 392.3 yards per game. Kiko Alonso leads the Miami Dolphins with 89 tackles, Cameron Wake has 3.5 sacks and Xavien Howard has three interceptions.

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The Indianapolis Colts look for a fifth straight victory to stay in the thick of the AFC playoff race. The Indianapolis Colts have won three straight home games. Andrew Luck is completing 67.3 percent of his passes for 2,769 yards, 29 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Luck has three or more touchdown passes in each of his last seven games. T.Y. Hilton and Eric Ebron have combined for 1,047 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while Chester Rogers has 34 receptions. The Indianapolis Colts ground game is averaging 112.4 yards per contest, and Marlon Mack leads the way with 471 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 24.9 points and 364.9 yards per game. Darius Leonard leads the Indianapolis Colts with 104 tackles, Jabaal Sheard has 5.5 sacks and Kenny Moore II has two interceptions.

The Dolphins are 5-18 ATS in their last 23 games on fieldturf, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Colts are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games in November, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Dolphins are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Indianapolis. The over is 5-2 in Colts last 7 games overall. The under is 5-1 in Dolphins last 6 road games.

The Miami Dolphins had their bye week at the right time, as they should get some of their injured players back, including Tannehill. The Indianapolis Colts are getting solid play out of their quarterback and are outscoring teams by 19.25 points during their four-game winning streak. The Miami Dolphins have failed to cover seven of their last 10 games when an underdog of at least seven points. The Indianapolis Colts are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games when a favorite of at least seven points. The Dolphins have been brutal on the road this season, but they do get their quarterback back and have had an extra week to prepare as well as get some other players back from injury. The Indianapolis Colts are winning games and their quarterback is putting up points, but they're still not a great team overall and their defense can get rocked. I like the hook on top of the free touchdown in this game.

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Randy’s Pick Miami Dolphins +7.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.