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Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans - 11/26/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tennessee Titans (5-5) at Houston Texans (7-3)

NFL Football: Monday, November 26, 2018 at 8:15 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans -5.5 -- Over/Under: 41.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans meet Monday in NFL week 12 action at NRG Stadium.

The Tennessee Titans look for a big road victory here to get a game above a .500 record. The Tennessee Titans have lost three of their last five road games. Marcus Mariota is completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 1,583 yards, seven touchdowns and six interceptions. Mariota has one or less touchdown passes in three of his last six games. Corey Davis and Dion Lewis have combined for 884 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Tajae Sharpe has 22 receptions. The Tennessee Titans ground game is averaging 111.7 yards per contest, and Lewis leads the way with 420 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 18.9 points and 334.9 yards per game. Wesley Woodyard leads the Tennessee Titans with 65 tackles, Jayon Brown has 4.5 sacks and Adoree' Jackson has two interceptions.

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Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans - 11/26/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Texans look to start running away with the AFC South division while building on their seven-game winning streak. The Houston Texans have won three straight home games. Deshaun Watson is completing 65 percent of his passes for 2,597 yards, 18 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Watson has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 15 games. DeAndre Hopkins and Keke Coutee have combined for 1,223 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Ryan Griffin has 11 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 122.1 yards per contest, and Lamar Miller leads the way with 611 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 20.5 points and 330.5 yards per game. Benardrick McKinney leads the Houston Texans with 70 tackles, J.J. Watt has 10 sacks and Justin Reid has three interceptions.

The Titans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Monday games, 19-43-4 ATS in their last 66 vs. AFC and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC South. The Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Monday games and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Titans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Houston and 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings. The under is 5-1 in Titans last 6 games overall. The under is 11-5 in Texans last 16 games overall.

The Tennessee Titans came out of the bye week looking like a completely different team on both sides of the ball. The Titans then got smoked by the Colts, looking like the Titans of old and Mariota is dealing with an elbow issue. The Houston Texans have won seven straight games, but it's important to note that five of those seven victories have been decided by seven or less points. The Tennessee Titans have covered eight of their last 10 games when an underdog of at least four points. The Houston Texans have failed to cover four of their last six games when a favorite of at least four points. I honestly have no idea what to think of the Titans, a team I was never high on and the second I give them a chance, they get their boots smoked by a subpar Colts team. The Houston Texans were my preseason Super Bowl pick, and while a lot of their games are close, they have the ability to blow you out if you're not matching their energy. With a banged up Mariota, I have to side with the Texans, even though I don't love the number.

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