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Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns - 12/2/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cleveland Browns (4-6-1) at Houston Texans (8-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 2, 2018 at 1:00 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans -4 -- Over/Under: 45 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Cleveland Browns and Houston Texans meet Sunday in NFL action at NRG Stadium.

The Cleveland Browns look for another victory to build on their impressive two-game winning streak. The Cleveland Browns have lost four of their last five road games. Baker Mayfield is completing 62.7 percent of his passes for 2,242 yards, 17 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Mayfield has two or more touchdown passes in each of his last five games. Jarvis Landry and David Njoku have combined for 1,061 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Antonio Callaway has 30 receptions. The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 128.7 yards per contest, and Nick Chubb leads the way with 663 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 25.7 points and 415.4 yards per game. Jamie Collins Sr. leads the Cleveland Browns with 75 tackles, Myles Garrett has 10 sacks and Denzel Ward has three interceptions. 

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Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns - 12/2/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Shanna Lockwood-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Texans look to build on their eight-game winning streak while chasing a top seed in the AFC. The Houston Texans have won four straight home games. Deshaun Watson is completing 66.1 percent of his passes for 2,807 yards, 20 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Watson has two or more touchdown passes in 11 of his last 16 games. DeAndre Hopkins and Keke Coutee have combined for 1,311 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Ryan Griffin has 14 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 136.5 yards per contest, and Lamar Miller leads the way with 773 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 20.2 points and 333.6 yards per game. Benardrick McKinney leads the Houston Texans with 70 tackles, J.J. Watt has 11.5 sacks and Justin Reid has three interceptions.

The Browns are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 road games, 12-25-1 ATS in their last 38 vs. AFC and 16-36-1 ATS in their last 53 games overall. The Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Browns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Houston and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 14-6 in Browns last 20 road games. The under is 11-5 in Texans last 16 games overall.

The Cleveland Browns have a little swagger entering this game, as they've won back-to-back games for the first time since Black Beatles was on the music charts and Mayfield is playing his best ball of his rookie season. The Houston Texans are coming off an impressive blowout win over the Tennessee Titans, and three of their last five wins have been decided by double digits. The Cleveland Browns have covered six of their last eight games when an underdog of at least three points. The Houston Texans have failed to cover six of their last eight games when a favorite of at least three points. I know the Browns are playing well and have been in nothing but close games. But there's still levels to this, and right now, the Texans are on fire both offensively and defensively, and I'm not convinced the Browns are ready for this on the road. The Browns beat the Falcons and the Bengals, which is good by their standards and clear progress, but neither of those teams are on the level or playing as well as the Texans right now. I'm simply not buying into the Browns just yet. I'll take the Texans by a touchdown. 

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