Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens - 12/9/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Baltimore Ravens (7-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (10-2)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 9, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -7 -- Over/Under: 53 See the Latest Odds
The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday in week 14 NFL action at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Baltimore Ravens look to build on their three-game winning streak with a statement road victory to improve their playoff chances. The Baltimore Ravens have split their last four road games. Lamar Jackson is completing 59.7 percent of his passes for 540 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Jackson enters this game with 77 career pass attempts under his belt. John Brown and Michael Crabtree have combined for 1,185 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Willie Snead IV has 51 receptions. The Baltimore Ravens ground game is averaging 129.2 yards per contest, and Alex Collins leads the way with 411 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing 17.8 points and 281.7 yards per game. C.J. Mosley leads the Baltimore Ravens with 77 tackles, Za'Darius Smith has 6.5 sacks and Brandon Carr has one interception.
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The Kansas City Chiefs look for their 11th victory of the season to inch closer towards the top seed in the AFC. The Kansas City Chiefs have won all five home games this season. Patrick Mahomes is completing 66.9 percent of his passes for 3,923 yards, 41 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Mahomes has three or more touchdown passes in nine of the 13 games this season. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce have combined for 2,201 receiving yards and 20 touchdowns while Sammy Watkins has 40 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 120.7 yards per contest, and Mahomes leads the way with 238 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 27.3 points and 417 yards per game. Anthony Hitchens leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 96 tackles, Dee Ford has 10.5 sacks and Steven Nelson has three interceptions.
The Ravens are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games on grass, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in December and 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December, 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC and 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The over is 3-1-1 in Chiefs last 5 games overall. The under is 7-3 in Ravens last 10 games overall.
The Baltimore Ravens are playing some of their most consistent football with Jackson at quarterback and are outscoring teams by 10 points per game during their three-game winning streak. The Kansas City Chiefs had their struggles in Oakland despite the victory, and you have to wonder just how long Mahomes can lead this offense without a running game. Kareem Hunt was missed in the victory over the Raiders. The Baltimore Ravens have split their last eight games ATS when an underdog of at least seven points. The Kansas City Chiefs have failed to cover six of their last eight games when a favorite of at least seven points. There's value here with the Ravens and the free touchdown, as they have the best defense in the league and only have to worry about the Chiefs passing game. The problem is the Chiefs have faced good defenses before and still put up points. I don't care how good a defense is, the Chiefs have too many weapons to keep down for long. I still have questions about the Ravens offense with a rookie quarterback when needing to trade blows. The running game works when the game is within reach, but if the Cheifs go up two scores, that passing game needs to come alive. I have my doubts. Give me the home team and the chalk.