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New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins - 12/9/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New England Patriots (9-3) at Miami Dolphins (6-6)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 9, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)

The Line: Miami Dolphins +7.5 -- Over/Under: 48 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins meet Sunday in week 14 NFL action at Hard Rock Stadium.

The New England Patriots look for their 10th win of the season as they inch closer toward a top seed in the AFC. The New England Patriots have split their last six road games. Tom Brady is completing 65.9 percent of his passes for 3,342 yards, 20 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Brady has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 14 games. James White and Josh Gordon have combined for 1,264 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Julian Edelman has 47 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 121.7 yards per contest, and Sony Michel leads the way with 649 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 21.6 points and 369.2 yards per game. Kyle Van Noy leads the New England Patriots with 76 tackles, Deatrich Wise Jr. has 4.5 sacks and Jonathan Jones has three interceptions.

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New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins - 12/9/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Dolphins look to get a game above a .500 record to stay in the thick of the AFC playoff race. The Miami Dolphins have won five of their last six home games. Ryan Tannehill is completing 66.3 percent of his passes for 1,313 yards, 13 touchdowns and six interceptions. Brock Osweiler and Ryan Tannehill have combined for 19 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions this season. Danny Amendola and Kenny Stills have combined for 838 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Kenyan Drake has 40 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 102.7 yards per contest, and Frank Gore leads the way with 616 yards on 139 carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 25 points and 399.4 yards per game. Kiko Alonso leads the Miami Dolphins with 106 tackles, Cameron Wake has 4.5 sacks and Xavien Howard has seven interceptions.

The Patriots are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 road games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East and 37-15 ATS in their last 52 games overall. The Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games in December. The Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Miami and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games overall. The under is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 games overall.

The New England Patriots are starting to play their best football of the season and each of their last four victories have been decided by double digits. The Miami Dolphins are 5-1 SU at home this season and need to pretty much win out to have any chance of making the playoffs. The New England Patriots have covered 10 of their last 13 games when a favorite of at least seven points. The Miami Dolphins have failed to cover seven of their last 11 games when an underdog of at least seven points. Things aren't looking good for the Dolphins with Xavien Howard ruled out, one of the top corners in the league and a guy who would have been huge in limiting Tom Brady. However, the Dolphins are one of those teams that consistently play the Patriots tough, and they've actually beaten New England four of the last five times in Miami. The Patriots seem to dislike the humidity in South Florida. The hook on top of the free touchdown could be key in this contest. 

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