New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 12/9/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports
New Orleans Saints (10-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-7)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 9, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Raymond James Stadium)
The Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9.5 -- Over/Under: 54.5
The New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet Sunday in week 14 NFL action at Raymond James Stadium.
The New Orleans Saints look for a bounce back performance as they hope to inch closer towards a top seed in the NFC. The New Orleans Saints have won five of their last six road games. Drew Brees is completing 75.5 percent of his passes for 3,262 yards, 30 touchdowns and three interceptions. Brees has two or more touchdown passes in 12 of his last 19 games. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara have combined for 1,675 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Tre'Quan Smith has 22 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 127.4 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 742 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 22.4 points and 354.7 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 87 tackles, Cameron Jordan has 10 sacks and Marcus Williams has two interceptions.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers look to play spoiler while snagging their third straight victory. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won four of their last six home games. Jameis Winston is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 1,941 yards, 12 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Winston and Ryan Fitzpatrick and have combined for 29 touchdown passes and 23 interceptions this season. Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson have combined for 1,871 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Chris Godwin has 49 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 98.2 yards per contest, and Peyton Barber leads the way with 635 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 29.6 points and 395.4 yards per game. Lavonte David leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 83 tackles, Jason Pierre-Paul has 11.5 sacks and Andrew Adams has three interceptions.
The Saints are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games, 15-6 ATS in their last 21 vs. NFC South and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC South, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December. The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay. The over is 9-4 in Buccaneers last 13 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games overall.
The New Orleans Saints have had extra time to prepare after a shocking Thursday loss to the Dallas Cowboys, and each of their last five wins have been decided by at least 10 points. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won their last two games by an average of 12.5 points and simply would have a better record if they could stop turning the ball over. The New Orleans Saints have failed to cover 10 of their last 14 games when a favorite of at least seven points. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered four of their last six games when an underdog of at least seven points. The New Orleans Saints should get their revenge after losing to the Bucs at home opening week, but this is too much chalk for me to lay. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers aren't a bad football team, as they've been on the wrong end of many close losses and have done a better job recently of finishing drives. I'll side with the points.