Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers - 12/13/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
Los Angeles Chargers (10-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (11-2)
NFL Football: Thursday, December 13, 2018 at 8:20 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 -- Over/Under: 53 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs meet Thursday in NFL action at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Los Angeles Chargers look to build on their three-game winning streak to have a shot at a top-two seed in the AFC. The Los Angeles Chargers have won their last five non-home games. Philip Rivers is completing 69.4 percent of his passes for 3,638 yards, 29 touchdowns and six interceptions. Rivers has two or more touchdown passes in 13 of his last 14 games. Keenan Allen and Tyrell Williams have combined for 1,621 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Mike Williams has 30 receptions. The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 122.1 yards per contest, and Melvin Gordon leads the way with 802 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 20.8 points and 331.8 yards per game. Derwin James leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 88 tackles, Melvin Ingram has 5.5 sacks and Desmond King has three interceptions.
The Kansas City Chiefs look for their 12th win of the season to keep pace for the top seed in the AFC. The Kansas City Chiefs have won all of their six home games this season. Patrick Mahomes is completing 66.8 percent of his passes for 4,300 yards, 43 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Mahomes has three or more touchdown passes in nine of the 14 games this season. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce have combined for 2,407 receiving yards and 21 touchdowns while Sammy Watkins has 40 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 118.6 yards per contest, and Spencer Ware leads the way with 246 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 27 points and 409.6 yards per game. Anthony Hitchens leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 104 tackles, Chris Jones has 11.5 sacks and Steven Nelson has three interceptions.
The Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in December. The Chiefs are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. AFC, 12-3 ATS in their last 15 vs. AFC West and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 4-1-1 in Chiefs last 6 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Chargers last 7 games overall.
The Los Angeles Chargers have quietly been one of the best teams in the league, as they have one loss since October and have won five straight road games when you throw in their London trip against the Tennessee Titans. The Kansas City Chiefs needed a few miracles and overtime to beat the Baltimore Ravens, but six of their last seven victories have been decided by at least seven points and they're outscoring teams by 13.6 points at home this season. The Los Angeles Chargers have covered four of their last six games as an underdog of at least three points. The Kansas City Chiefs have failed to cover four of their last five games as a favorite of at least three points. The Chiefs have won each of the last nine meetings against the Chargers, and most of those meetings weren't close. However, we're getting free points with one of the best teams in the league, and a Super Bowl contender that's arguably played its best ball on the road. You can make a case the Chargers are the more complete team. I'm taking the Chargers and the free points simply based on the value, as they have a chance to win this thing outright.