Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 12/16/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-8) at Baltimore Ravens (7-6)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 16, 2018 at 1:00 pm (M&T Bank Stadium)
The Line: Baltimore Ravens -8 -- Over/Under: 46.5
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Baltimore Ravens meet Sunday in NFL action at M&T Bank Stadium.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers look to play spoiler at this point after losing five of their last seven games. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost their last five road games. Jameis Winston is completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 2,154 yards, 14 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Winston and Ryan Fitzpatrick and have combined for 31 touchdown passes and 24 interceptions this season. Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson have combined for 1,957 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Chris Godwin has 50 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 98.7 yards per contest, and Peyton Barber leads the way with 677 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 29.5 points and 387.9 yards per game. Lavonte David leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 93 tackles, Jason Pierre-Paul has 11.5 sacks and Andrew Adams has three interceptions.
The Baltimore Ravens need to earn their eighth win of the season to stay in the thick of the AFC playoff race. The Baltimore Ravens have won four of their last six home games. Lamar Jackson is completing 58.4 percent of his passes for 687 yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions. Jackson enters this game with 101 career pass attempts under his belt. John Brown and Willie Snead IV have combined for 1,240 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Michael Crabtree has 51 receptions. The Baltimore Ravens ground game is averaging 134.5 yards per contest, and Jackson leads the way with 475 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing 18.5 points and 293.9 yards per game. C.J. Mosley leads the Baltimore Ravens with 83 tackles, Za'Darius Smith has seven sacks and Brandon Carr has one interception.
The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Ravens are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 15 and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in December. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The under is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games overall. The over is 8-3 in Ravens last 11 games in December.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers watched their two-game winning streak come to an end against the New Orleans Saints, but they were in that game before falling apart in the fourth quarter. Finishing has been the problem all year for the Bucs. The Baltimore Ravens are coming off a frustrating loss to the Kansas City Chiefs and six of their last nine games overall have been decided by 10 or less points. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have split their last 10 games ATS when an underdog of at least three points. The Baltimore Ravens have split their last 10 games ATS when a favorite of at least three points. This is too many points for me to get behind a Baltimore Ravens team that has a one dimensional offense. I can't lay big chalk when a defense can load the box and force the quarterback to make plays with his arm, something Jackson hasn't shown he can do consistently. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are much better than their record suggests, as they just need to stop turning the ball over and show up in the fourth quarter. Either way, I'm taking the boatload of points in this game, as I don't trust the Ravens enough yet.