Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills - 12/16/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports
Detroit Lions (5-8) at Buffalo Bills (4-9)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 16, 2018 at 1:00 pm (New Era Field)
The Line: Buffalo Bills -2.5 -- Over/Under: 39.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Detroit Lions and Buffalo Bills meet Sunday in NFL action at New Era Field.
The Detroit Lions could use a feel good victory here after losing five of their last seven games. The Detroit Lions have lost four of their last six road games. Matthew Stafford is completing 66.5 percent of his passes for 3,187 yards, 18 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Stafford has three or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 12 games. Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones Jr. have combined for 1,367 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Theo Riddick has 55 receptions. The Detroit Lions ground game is averaging 103 yards per contest, and Kerryon Johnson leads the way with 641 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Detroit is allowing 24.5 points and 348.7 yards per game. Jarrad Davis leads the Detroit Lions with 79 tackles, Romeo Okwara has 6.5 sacks and Darius Slay has three interceptions.
The Buffalo Bills could also use a victory after losing six of their last eight games. The Buffalo Bills have lost four of their last six home games. Josh Allen is completing 52.4 percent of his passes for 1,429 yards, five touchdowns and nine interceptions. Allen has two interceptions in four of his last eight games. Zay Jones and Robert Foster have combined for 841 receiving yards and five touchdowns while LeSean McCoy has 29 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 125.3 yards per contest, and Allen leads the way with 490 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 24.6 points and 290.6 yards per game. Tremaine Edmunds leads the Buffalo Bills with 90 tackles, Lorenzo Alexander has 6.5 sacks and Jordan Poyer has three interceptions.
The Lions are 15-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games in December and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 15 and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games overall.
The Detroit Lions have found ways to win two of their last four games, but this is still a team that's been held to 22 or less points in each of their last seven games. The Buffalo Bills have had scoring issues of their own, which includes being held to 17 or less points in eight of their last 10 games. The Detroit Lions have failed to cover four of their last five games when an underdog of at least two points. The Buffalo Bills are 4-4-1 ATS in their last nine games when a favorite of at least two points. The difference for me in this game comes down to the weather. The Detroit Lions are a dome football team and will be playing in 30 degreees with crazy wind that New Era Field always has this time of year. Allen is also still bringing that competitive spirit despite the Bills not playing for anything much. I'll lay the small chalk.