Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks - 12/23/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Kansas City Chiefs (11-3) at Seattle Seahawks (8-6)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 23, 2018 at 8:20 pm (CenturyLink Field)
The Line: Seattle Seahawks +2.5 -- Over/Under: 53.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Kansas City Chiefs and the Seattle Seahawks meet in week 16 NFL action from CenturyLink Field in 2018’s final edition of Sunday Night Football.
The Kansas City Chiefs will look to rebound from a heartbreaking 29-28 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers in their last outing. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 4,543 yards, 45 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 67.1% passing while Spencer Ware leads the Chiefs in rushing with 246 rushing yards. Tyreek Hill leads KC with 1,304 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Travis Kelce has a team-high 93 grabs for 1,220 yards and 10 touchdowns this year. Defensively, Chris Jones leads the Chiefs and is 5th in the NFL with 14 sacks while Dee Ford has 11.5 sacks and Anthony Hitchens leads the Chiefs with 71 tackles this season. As a team, Kansas City is averaging the most total offense with 427.2 yards per game and the highest-scoring offense in the league, scoring 35.6 points per game this season.
The Seattle Seahawks will look for a bounce back performance after a 26-23 overtime loss to the San Francisco 49ers in their last outing. Russell Wilson has thrown for 3,025 yards, 31 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 66.3% passing while Chris Carson leads Seattle with 913 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns. Mike Davis and Rashaad Penny each have 400+ rushing yards this season as well. Tyler Lockett leads Seattle with 51 catches for 800 yards and 9 touchdowns while Doug Baldwin has 41 catches for 465 yards and 4 TDs and David Moore has 422 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Defensively, Frank Clark leads the Seahawks with 12 sacks and Jarran Reed has 8.5 sacks while Bobby Wagner leads Seattle with 69 tackles this season. As a team, Seattle is averaging 349.9 yards of total offense, including the most rushing yards in the league with 154.9 per game to go along with 25.9 points per game this season.
Kansas City is 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Seattle is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record. Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
The Seahawks let a lot of people down, myself included, where they blew it against the 49ers last week and you don’t often get these Chiefs with a low line, so I can understand why a lot of money is coming in on Kansas City. However, 3 of the Chiefs’ last 4 games have been decided by 3 points or less, with 2 of those being losses. This game also means a lot more to Seattle than it does Kansas City, as the Chiefs have the luxury of a guaranteed playoff spot, while Seattle is still battling. The Seahawks aren’t the dominant defensive unit of years past, but they’re still a tough defense nonetheless and have one of the tougher road environments in the league behind them in the 12th man. I think as long as the Seahawks don’t make bonehead mistakes like they have in the last few weeks, the Seahawks have a good shot at winning this one outright. The Chiefs have also been brutal ATS over the last month and a bit, so I’ll take a shot at Seattle and the points in a game that’s probably better to watch rather than bet.