Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - 12/23/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - 12/23/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-10) at Miami Dolphins (7-7)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 23, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)

The Line: Miami Dolphins -4.5 -- Over/Under: 39.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Jacksonville Jaguars and Miami Dolphins meet Sunday in NFL action at Hard Rock Stadium.

The Jacksonville Jaguars could use a feel good victory here after losing nine of their last 10 games. The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost their last six non-home games. Cody Kessler is completing 64 percent of his passes for 603 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Kessler enters this game with 114 pass attempts under his belt this season. Dede Westbrook and Donte Moncrief have combined for 1,266 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while T.J. Yeldon has 55 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 111.9 yards per contest, and Yeldon leads the way with 414 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 20.6 points and 318.4 yards per game. Telvin Smith leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 118 tackles, Yannick Ngakoue has seven sacks and Jalen Ramsey has three interceptions.

The Miami Dolphins need a win here to get a game above a .500 record while staying in the AFC wild card race. The Miami Dolphins have won six of their last seven home games. Ryan Tannehill is completing 64.7 percent of his passes for 1,686 yards, 16 touchdowns and six interceptions. Tannehill has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last eight games. Kenny Stills and Danny Amendola have combined for 1,030 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Kenyan Drake has 44 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 112.6 yards per contest, and Frank Gore leads the way with 722 yards on 156 carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 26.7 points and 402.3 yards per game. Kiko Alonso leads the Miami Dolphins with 121 tackles, Robert Quinn has 5.5 sacks and Xavien Howard has seven interceptions.

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The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December, 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Dolphins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games in December and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass. The favorite is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The over is 5-2 in Dolphins last 7 home games. The over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 road games.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are piling up the losses due to a lack of offense, as they've scored 18 or less points in eight of their last 10 games and are averaging just 9.3 points in their last three games. The Miami Dolphins are coming off a beatdown loss to the Minnesota Vikings, a game in which they fell apart in the second half, but they've been a different team at home, despite all six home wins being won by single digits. The Jacksonville Jaguars are 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 games when an underdog of at least three points. The Miami Dolphins are 4-1-2 ATS in their last seven games when a favorite of at least three points. The numbers suggest that this will be another close game, as the Dolphins don't blow anybody out and usually make things interesting. The problem is the Jagaurs can't score and just lost to a Redskins team that's led by a quarterback who didn't have a pass attempt since 2011. The Dolphins should be able to cruise in this game given how different they are at home. Backing the Jacksonville Jaguars is just not an option for me right now.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Miami Dolphins -4.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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